Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb974cdff1acf1b0e371d796612b6f48eba7e314f54853376cdd55d4031859236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…3bbfbacked Yes | 2c | 15,973$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 5c | 7,841$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.05 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 22c | 6,136$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.05 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Yes | 35c | 4,500$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 12c | 4,291$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.33 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 3c | 3,951$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…fd86backed Yes | 1c | 3,390$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 8c | 3,287$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…0a84backed Yes | 1c | 3,141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…688ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,015$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 2,799$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,432$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 4c | 1,827$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,722$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd18…0e39backed Yes | 1c | 1,585$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 70c | 1,509$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.3 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,327$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 6c | 1,268$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…63e3backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…7e2cbacked No | 73c | 1,169$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 10c | 1,084$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…918ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,003$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 32c | 988.64$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…986bbacked Yes | 33c | 980.8$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…4ccbbacked No | 63c | 952$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.84 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…ce35backed Yes | 8c | 890.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 875.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…12f5backed No | 72c | 872$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 12c | 780.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 74c | 648.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 15c | 645.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 4c | 604.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…8af7backed Yes | 3c | 586.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…f23cbacked Yes | 20c | 586.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 69c | 573.3$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.72 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…f4d8backed Yes | 27c | 557$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 31c | 555.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…6457backed Yes | 3c | 552.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…24cabacked Yes | 3c | 515.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 5c | 511$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…e00dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 7c | 489$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…e64bbacked Yes | 6c | 461.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…3ecdbacked No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…f693backed Yes | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…bd6fbacked Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 45c | 436$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 69c | 432.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 26c | 386.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 27c | 341.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…879abacked Yes | 6c | 333.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…4bafbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…fa71backed Yes | 11c | 315.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…0cebbacked Yes | 7c | 279.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked Yes | 4c | 275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…6ca1backed No | 56c | 254.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…5189backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…936fbacked Yes | 17c | 237.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…3580backed Yes | 5c | 229.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed No | 73c | 221.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed Yes | 28c | 211.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 8c | 202.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…1b17backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 24c | 174.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…e281backed Yes | 12c | 169.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…7b9fbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked Yes | 32c | 157.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 36c | 154.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked Yes | 31c | 139.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166b…0036backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…bb09backed Yes | 32c | 110.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…394abacked Yes | 32c | 102.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f209backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 70c | 99.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…093abacked Yes | 35c | 91.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 14c | 91.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…d600backed Yes | 30c | 72.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9655…ab01backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…e6c5backed Yes | 26c | 71.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…b7e5backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…eeabbacked No | 75c | 62.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…47b6backed Yes | 36c | 62.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked No | 72c | 61.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…b23ebacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $46,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.