Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b6e0b230805c8f05a77262c95e08403bb18a2066cfbb737c5b56a6aa555dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 43c | 11,152$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 44c | 7,304$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.73 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 31c | 6,996$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.15 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,246$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.14 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 47c | 4,663$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.94 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 43c | 4,060$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.23 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 45c | 2,807$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 32c | 2,251$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 47c | 2,117$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.81 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…ef25backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 1c | 1,303$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 49c | 1,096$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…b810backed No | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 33c | 1,049$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Yes | 45c | 923.58$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…c369backed Yes | 49c | 845.24$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 60c | 836.79$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 55c | 814.6$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.57 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…0413backed Yes | 46c | 799.76$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…f693backed Yes | 51c | 635$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed No | 50c | 596.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 59c | 579.58$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes | 41c | 551.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Yes | 29c | 500.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…1b17backed No | 45c | 495$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 35c | 492.94$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.77 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…766abacked No | 31c | 452.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 73c | 449.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked No | 26c | 448.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…73bdbacked No | 45c | 437$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7b42backed No | 50c | 431$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 427.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 29c | 413.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 59c | 399.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 39c | 385.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 375.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked No | 70c | 373.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…9b4cbacked No | 71c | 367.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…7b9fbacked No | 66c | 353.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 79c | 350$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…f23cbacked No | 43c | 342.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 53c | 331.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…bd6fbacked Yes | 41c | 319.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 35c | 312.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…99abbacked No | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 42c | 262.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 49c | 236$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…245dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked Yes | 78c | 229.01$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…a875backed Yes | 18c | 207.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 41c | 173$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Yes | 30c | 169.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…cd92backed Yes | 62c | 167.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 40c | 164.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Yes | 27c | 163.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…51c4backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed No | 60c | 156.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c54cbacked Yes | 43c | 155.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…fa71backed Yes | 52c | 145.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 60c | 145.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…9a3dbacked Yes | 32c | 142.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 41c | 140.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…a899backed No | 36c | 136.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 25c | 135.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…8614backed Yes | 25c | 130.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 38c | 119.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…64babacked No | 72c | 110.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…9371backed No | 76c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…895dbacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…a822backed Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…5691backed Yes | 36c | 100.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…25adbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…6d12backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…27abbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d034backed Yes | 26c | 97.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 37c | 95.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed Yes | 58c | 93.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 47c | 88.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked No | 18c | 77.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…61bebacked No | 46c | 76.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…e875backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…3d84backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…2bf5backed Yes | 75c | 72.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…aab9backed No | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 54c | 71.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $46,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.