TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5763…1c22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.7
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$187.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$33.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$868
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,306.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.5%+$74.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$862.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+34.5%+$1,100.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$79.43
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$70.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$920.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$845.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$304.84
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$76.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.4%+$2,005.7
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,504Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$3,495.65
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,464.69
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,943.47
Will Ethereum reach $4500 September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$705
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$56.34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$91.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$174.61
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$824.84
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140.03
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,275.02
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$103.8
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$629.83
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.78
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$687.11
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+79%+$136.68
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$431.27
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$251.43
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$154.84
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$205.84
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.34
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$45.7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.87
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.72
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+93.1%+$28.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+80.2%+$130.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$41.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,928Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+27%+$789.61
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$731.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$45.76
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$260.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood say "Football" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+187.7%+$330.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$2,159.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$251.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.