Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x862a23e2ad5445d1079e3252217dfe8aaf15288ee7cafa8f9906088176f136af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,309,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,353,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,309,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 825 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 3c | 468,231$14,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750.8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 29c | 63,280$18,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,531.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 63c | 46,196$29,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,868.91 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 45,447$11,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,727.93 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…463abacked No | 29c | 29,260$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 2c | 29,133$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 25c | 27,102$6,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.26 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 6c | 22,000$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 21,300$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 11c | 20,058$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.72 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 28c | 19,738$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.65 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 69c | 17,000$11,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 34c | 16,627$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663.76 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…ce23backed No | 34c | 14,470$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 74c | 14,406$10,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.16 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 34c | 14,195$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.17 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 23c | 13,706$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.92 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 8c | 13,345$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…839abacked No | 28c | 13,293$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 78c | 13,286$10,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 74c | 13,079$9,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 2c | 12,303$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.09 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 27c | 12,210$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.19 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…1815backed No | 22c | 12,150$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 73c | 12,076$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…6065backed No | 23c | 11,800$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed No | 30c | 11,581$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 73c | 11,022$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…45a8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Yes | 70c | 9,999$6,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 27c | 9,634$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.73 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 23c | 9,177$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.76 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…a191backed No | 28c | 7,269$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 7,159$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…5966backed No | 33c | 7,150$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 80c | 7,021$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.41 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked No | 29c | 6,981$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 72c | 6,865$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.35 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…b85ebacked No | 30c | 6,850$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked No | 37c | 6,683$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 30c | 6,302$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 12c | 6,000$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…44dcbacked Yes | 70c | 5,967$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 74c | 5,941$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.47 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 29c | 5,837$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 5,705$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.58 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 70c | 5,671$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked Yes | 73c | 5,486$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 66c | 5,458$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.21 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 5,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked No | 21c | 5,024$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 20c | 5,000$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…00e9backed No | 23c | 4,943$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 26c | 4,893$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 28c | 4,630$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.62 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 77c | 4,430$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.69 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 27c | 4,389$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked Yes | 75c | 4,319$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 3c | 4,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…4e40backed Yes | 66c | 4,066$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 4,022$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.95 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 25c | 4,000$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 74c | 4,000$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…46d2backed Yes | 67c | 3,950$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 21c | 3,943$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc66…835ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,701$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 18c | 3,653$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.92 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…7cacbacked Yes | 74c | 3,650$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…e124backed Yes | 66c | 3,649$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 29c | 3,508$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.41 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…4893backed Yes | 70c | 3,500$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 79c | 3,480$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 10c | 3,398$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 26c | 3,380$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.29 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…f852backed Yes | 69c | 3,350$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 17c | 3,333$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.72 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 16c | 3,303$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.32 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…c788backed Yes | 71c | 3,288$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…d146backed Yes | 78c | 3,250$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…401cbacked No | 3c | 3,205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…3de6backed Yes | 67c | 3,200$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…182dbacked Yes | 77c | 3,200$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…969ebacked Yes | 78c | 3,200$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 73c | 3,162$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…20d6backed Yes | 77c | 3,100$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 28c | 3,067$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.56 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…22efbacked No | 33c | 3,063$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…4882backed Yes | 66c | 3,054$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 39c | 3,047$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…a6a2backed Yes | 72c | 3,045$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…0a43backed Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 5c | 3,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,996$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…67e0backed No | 19c | 2,941$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 21c | 2,940$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…702cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,924$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 28c | 2,880$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 77c | 2,868$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 2,864$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.56 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?this page
- Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.