TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf397…e1da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$5.58
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$87.97
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$115.5
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Test Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs India - Match goes to Day 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$111.92
Will England finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will India reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.6%+$18.73
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies - Who wins the toss?backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+310.7%+$36.14
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.82
Will Pakistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.74
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Australia reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Afghanistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$4.25
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1) - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41.6%+$4.33
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$72.76
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Afghanistan vs West Indies (T20I): Afghanistan vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$182.89
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.49
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT280%0 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$274.26
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.35
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.28
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.96
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$65.17
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.71
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$341.32
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.61
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.56
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.24
Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.44
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$63.2
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$111.46
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.75
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$123.5
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47.88
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52.9
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.29
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-79.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$390.83
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$164.22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$687.11
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$927.85
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,532.41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+191.4%+$3,840.25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$416.03
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$311.5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$131
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$82
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,456.58
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.1%+$12.28
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$837.92
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$737
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,476.99
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$833.32
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$94.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$60.99
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$136
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$346.49
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$167.23
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.85
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+263%+$362.28
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Sinners be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$79.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$311
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$167.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$43.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$448.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.