Tennis · resolved market
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5aa092bc0c43df3e861ac48653d38543758475a339463d7abd14f21f6d0fe8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,175,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Yes | 1c | 104,500$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.45 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 1c | 94,586$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.28 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 0c | 81,631$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 77,676$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.89 | 116 | 3.4%4 W · 112 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes | 2c | 38,713$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 35,800$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 30,824$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 2c | 29,794$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 1c | 27,242$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Yes | 0c | 22,059$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 1c | 21,574$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes | 1c | 20,892$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 1c | 19,044$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 1c | 18,015$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Yes | 0c | 17,990$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,540$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…e7d6backed Yes | 1c | 16,587$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Yes | 1c | 15,926$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 0c | 15,540$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…a33cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,918$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 14,031$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…33aebacked Yes | 1c | 12,749$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…f100backed Yes | 1c | 12,329$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 9,777$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 0c | 9,098$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,533$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,708$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 2c | 7,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…bef8backed Yes | 1c | 7,328$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 6,570$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -95.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 6,522$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…f407backed Yes | 1c | 5,658$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 99 | 6.1%6 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 1c | 5,123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…38b6backed Yes | 1c | 4,860$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…3c13backed Yes | 2c | 4,584$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,406$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,263$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,995$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 1c | 3,860$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Yes | 1c | 3,590$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 1c | 3,585$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 3,374$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…6fbebacked Yes | 1c | 3,213$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…5eb4backed Yes | 1c | 2,826$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…3701backed Yes | 1c | 2,817$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90d…6751backed Yes | 1c | 2,815$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…0f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,798$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 2,760$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…4b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,746$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb117…e583backed Yes | 1c | 2,745$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a5…dea0backed Yes | 1c | 2,726$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…f2e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,715$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…e7fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…82f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,668$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Yes | 1c | 2,575$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…b91cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,252$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,002$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…6c59backed Yes | 1c | 1,857$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…bd20backed Yes | 1c | 1,826$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,820$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Yes | 1c | 1,436$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…2d51backed Yes | 2c | 1,307$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 999.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…46b9backed Yes | 1c | 834.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…37adbacked Yes | 4c | 735.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…ca06backed Yes | 1c | 722.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 1c | 719.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +171.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.