TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$489,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1574…64c9backed Yes0c112,490$368 inLost-$367.647639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes0c72,912$342 inLost-$341.651163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2260…ad28backed Yes0c53,143$192 inLost-$191.96922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes1c50,000$300 inLost-$300100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes1c31,973$186 inLost-$185.995623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc285…a33cbacked Yes1c13,391$100 inLost-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-89.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes1c11,553$83 inLost-$83.022123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked Yes0c10,873$23 inLost-$22.75280%0 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x621c…1192backed Yes0c10,146$50 inLost-$49.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked Yes0c9,383$31 inLost-$31.176929%20 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c7,823$25 inLost-$24.97160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes1c7,704$55 inLost-$5519744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes0c6,137$26 inLost-$25.511811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81db…eb43backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost-$1522723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c3,941$12 inLost-$11.85521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes0c3,847$15 inLost-$15.49996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fc…3b7ebacked Yes1c3,571$25 inLost-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c3,306$17 inLost-$16.794599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c3,264$17 inLost-$16.541089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost-$2115751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f29…ceeabacked Yes0c2,863$11 inLost-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…dfa7backed Yes0c2,741$11 inLost-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes1c2,411$13 inLost-$13.35783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes1c2,018$10 inLost-$10.231915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes2c1,802$34 inLost-$341163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.