Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d82dde437e078d9d1248ec693affc174286c01cd23de165c1a5841df8176b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $780,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Yes | 1c | 153,768$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 72,853$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.46 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 1c | 64,733$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.98 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 1c | 45,933$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.27 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…9488backed Yes | 1c | 37,856$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 1c | 28,765$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.96 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 1c | 22,742$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 1c | 22,606$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…c6dfbacked Yes | 2c | 21,986$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…a33cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 15,918$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 1c | 11,709$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Yes | 1c | 11,400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…4076backed Yes | 1c | 9,457$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d26…edf6backed Yes | 1c | 8,078$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,754$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…e4a6backed Yes | 2c | 7,021$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 2c | 6,191$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 1c | 5,735$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,820$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 1c | 4,686$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,603$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…2804backed Yes | 1c | 4,123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 1c | 3,923$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…5065backed Yes | 1c | 3,714$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…16bebacked Yes | 2c | 3,197$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 2c | 3,001$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,914$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 1c | 2,846$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Yes | 2c | 2,790$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,733$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…f2debacked Yes | 2c | 2,694$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 1c | 2,576$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…3b7ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…f407backed Yes | 0c | 2,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 99 | 6.1%6 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 2,238$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Yes | 2c | 2,222$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…0e9fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 1c | 1,882$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 1c | 1,797$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Yes | 1c | 1,705$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…7922backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 1,377$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…deccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,344$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Yes | 1c | 1,310$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…2ee0backed Yes | 2c | 1,273$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…bd20backed Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 2c | 1,151$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 1c | 1,139$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…dd75backed Yes | 2c | 1,095$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…dc2bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…2b19backed Yes | 1c | 930$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a4…bf38backed Yes | 1c | 755.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…2004backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.