TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,670 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe507…1258backed Yes1c70,472$737 inLost-$737.165623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c62,401$482 inLost-$481.541163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes1c35,000$315 inLost-$3151723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes1c30,847$247 inLost-$246.7717823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c12,055$85 inLost-$85.421811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc285…a33cbacked Yes1c9,313$100 inLost-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-89.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes0c7,975$38 inLost-$38.35933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked Yes1c7,621$53 inLost-$52.9280%0 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f7d…8235backed Yes1c7,269$61 inLost-$61.082536%9 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes1c7,202$40 inLost-$40996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes1c6,400$32 inLost-$325617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c6,286$41 inLost-$41.4322623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Yes1c5,073$50 inLost-$5024357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes1c4,921$41 inLost-$40.837057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c4,516$35 inLost-$34.964599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes1c4,060$41 inLost-$40.63647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c2,924$23 inLost-$22.941089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c58…7aebbacked Yes1c2,681$28 inLost-$282352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes1c2,635$27 inLost-$26.9120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df8…15f3backed Yes1c2,598$19 inLost-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes1c2,551$20 inLost-$20.4163650.3%320 W · 316 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…86dabacked Yes1c2,242$17 inLost-$17.42040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes1c2,230$11 inLost-$11.15293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-92.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bc…a87fbacked Yes1c2,200$15 inLost-$15.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e7d6backed Yes1c2,058$16 inLost-$15.7380%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes1c2,000$19 inLost-$18.8515751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes1c1,919$12 inLost-$11.53521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes1c1,706$13 inLost-$13.43783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes1c1,680$12 inLost-$11.7611230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…6fbebacked Yes1c1,589$15 inLost-$151513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-77.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes1c1,432$11 inLost-$11.11915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c0…a37abacked Yes1c1,268$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes1c1,200$12 inLost-$11.85326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.