Tennis · resolved market
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30fd2f2a646223668e2c118f728bf2e7c4ea6326824ade6ef7d9a532410d144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 87,869$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.54 | 116 | 3.4%4 W · 112 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 68,993$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.24 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 1c | 52,415$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.29 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 51,147$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 48,227$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…4076backed Yes | 1c | 34,736$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Yes | 1c | 32,829$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 1c | 19,823$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Yes | 2c | 17,250$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 2c | 16,954$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.32 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 16,720$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…a33cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,357$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…3408backed Yes | 1c | 12,693$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…32bebacked Yes | 1c | 10,770$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes | 0c | 10,640$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 9,485$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 9,020$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,051$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 5,223$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…7922backed Yes | 1c | 5,091$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…7798backed Yes | 1c | 5,085$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 4,856$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…e7d6backed Yes | 1c | 4,732$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 1c | 4,164$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -95.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 3,792$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,541$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 2c | 3,285$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…4939backed Yes | 1c | 2,831$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,759$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…b54fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,749$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 1c | 2,581$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 2c | 2,485$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…3578backed Yes | 1c | 2,149$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,081$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…90ecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…f100backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 1,796$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…8d8fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,707$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…3b7ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…4aa7backed Yes | 3c | 1,586$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,554$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…6fbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,430$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 2c | 1,410$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…bef8backed Yes | 1c | 1,254$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 924.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 2c | 918.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…8235backed Yes | 2c | 832.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 809.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.