Tennis · resolved market
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c5b274989a59e16059eb1598f437cc18f2c9c580857fecc7b206b51b37c2870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 42,000$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 3c | 40,058$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.06 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 3c | 32,835$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 31,272$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.65 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 3c | 30,905$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 30,297$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.3 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 27,225$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.75 | 116 | 3.4%4 W · 112 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 25,930$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.24 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 3c | 25,489$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.1 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…4076backed Yes | 3c | 23,570$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 2c | 19,425$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 3c | 18,397$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.71 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 18,004$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 2c | 16,793$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 13,255$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 0c | 12,797$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 1c | 12,218$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 11,726$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 10,989$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.31 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Yes | 3c | 10,951$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 2c | 9,995$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 2c | 9,471$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 9,056$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Yes | 4c | 9,045$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.62 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Yes | 3c | 7,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 3c | 6,915$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 6,577$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,400$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,093$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…e7d6backed Yes | 2c | 5,392$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 3c | 5,141$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…2dd3backed Yes | 2c | 5,024$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…9488backed Yes | 2c | 4,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 4c | 4,487$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.94 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 2c | 4,350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa605…c9c2backed Yes | 2c | 4,252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Yes | 2c | 4,105$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…b271backed Yes | 3c | 4,039$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…c4e3backed Yes | 3c | 3,813$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 3c | 3,749$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 3c | 3,747$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 3,690$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 3,494$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…a33cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,489$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…7036backed Yes | 3c | 3,447$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 3,434$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked Yes | 2c | 3,422$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…7b05backed Yes | 3c | 3,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…f6bfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 3,077$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,968$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 2,967$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…11d5backed Yes | 3c | 2,934$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 4c | 2,924$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…709dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,730$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,530$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 2,504$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…024dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…2cd0backed Yes | 4c | 2,371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Yes | 2c | 2,188$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…8226backed Yes | 3c | 2,071$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,021$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 2c | 2,010$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 3c | 1,978$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 3c | 1,821$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,777$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Yes | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,709$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,679$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…cb99backed Yes | 2c | 1,675$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Yes | 3c | 1,670$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 3c | 1,645$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,518$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,456$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Yes | 3c | 1,440$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…3578backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 2c | 1,349$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…99aebacked Yes | 4c | 1,317$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…6fd1backed Yes | 3c | 1,212$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…6f68backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…abdfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…462ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,079$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +171.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…f5b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,040$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,031$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…ef8dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…b56abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 999.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…610dbacked Yes | 2c | 999.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 3c | 999.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 3c | 998.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a33cbacked Yes | 3c | 960$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.