Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62727c536b08c4a73edb786408542ccecc4a0cf9b0e14ce571b5d00d84e72e04

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,993,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,998,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,993,199 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Yes	53c	99,869$52,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,930.42	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	49c	78,373$38,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,321.48	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	49c	75,583$37,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,269.42	220	37.7%83 W · 137 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes	53c	74,984$39,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,741.37	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Yes	47c	56,374$26,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,681.4	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…0988backed Yes	51c	54,948$27,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,774.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10fe…9607backed Yes	60c	43,587$26,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,219.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	50c	39,117$19,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,478.47	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes	52c	37,226$19,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,285.17	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Yes	50c	26,000$12,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,969.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	50c	25,899$12,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,823.79	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+6.4wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No	51c	24,283$12,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,898.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes	49c	23,055$11,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,243.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No	50c	22,383$11,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,226.98	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes	50c	22,313$11,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,048.08	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	49c	22,000$10,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,880.04	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	49c	20,273$9,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,992.14	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	48c	20,204$9,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,628.04	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes	53c	19,980$10,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,585.63	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbc…e4edbacked No	51c	19,596$10,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,578.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	49c	18,091$8,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,860.37	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	40cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No	48c	16,173$7,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,488.06	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Yes	50c	16,035$7,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,950.27	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Yes	51c	14,516$7,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,403.35	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	49c	11,899$5,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,869.14	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes	50c	10,776$5,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,388.1	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+6.5wins	+0.20per pick	48cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	30c	10,622$3,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,154.22	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes	53c	10,200$5,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,393.99	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9a…7167backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yes	58c	9,866$5,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,751.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	74c	9,836$7,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,277.45	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+369.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	52c	9,832$5,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,066.11	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes	52c	9,331$4,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,852.15	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked Yes	53c	9,023$4,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,782.02	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…2f7cbacked Yes	50c	8,992$4,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,504.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked No	47c	8,925$4,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,730.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…6924backed Yes	52c	8,244$4,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,250.81	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee7c…ebdbbacked Yes	53c	8,000$4,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,240	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7903…5149backed Yes	46c	7,842$3,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,607.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes	52c	7,727$4,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,017.93	761	46.6%355 W · 406 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4728…6426backed Yes	51c	7,624$3,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,918.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa571…270fbacked No	54c	7,582$4,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,487.58	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8597…daeebacked Yes	49c	7,550$3,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,666	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	47c	7,490$3,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,947.13	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes	53c	6,789$3,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,606.69	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb83…0aa0backed No	50c	6,492$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,252.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	51c	6,215$3,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,157.4	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	75c	6,197$4,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,567.83	552	43.3%239 W · 313 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes	33c	6,140$2,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,047.17	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	65c	5,917$3,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,835.74	82	26.8%22 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes	49c	5,898$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,866.19	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf123…5ee7backed No	49c	5,866$2,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,991.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ac…3a81backed Yes	51c	5,786$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No	56c	5,714$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,514.29	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes	46c	5,628$2,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,565.82	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	55c	5,555$3,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,499.75	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee1…3e28backed Yes	54c	5,555$2,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,980	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb015…d211backed No	50c	5,526$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,781.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes	37c	5,450$2,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,043.54	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	53c	5,365$2,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,534.04	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked No	56c	5,357$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,357.14	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes	51c	5,285$2,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,673.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa4…82cfbacked Yes	51c	5,103$2,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,602.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes	48c	5,050$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430.93	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc89…72f1backed No	49c	5,023$2,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,561.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca1…4c64backed Yes	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes	49c	5,000$2,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450.98	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f6…83fcbacked Yes	52c	4,924$2,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,560.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d3…9f91backed No	48c	4,891$2,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,543.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked No	55c	4,755$2,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,159.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+62%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c58…7aebbacked Yes	54c	4,611$2,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,482	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…62bdbacked Yes	48c	4,582$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,207.77	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	47c	4,464$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,096.1	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes	50c	4,370$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed No	53c	4,319$2,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.11	231	26%60 W · 171 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3006…6f28backed Yes	50c	4,271$2,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,135.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes	60c	4,269$2,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.81	193	49.7%96 W · 97 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed Yes	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2263…4e26backed Yes	51c	3,900$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef6…8df1backed Yes	48c	3,763$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,818.99	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	11c	3,750$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	24cpaid	+111.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes	46c	3,700$1,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,702	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa32c…c374backed Yes	52c	3,696$1,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,922	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52dd…76acbacked No	54c	3,623$1,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	49c	3,580$1,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.76	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	43c	3,524$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.33	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd62…e465backed Yes	46c	3,523$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes	53c	3,519$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,865	260	45.4%118 W · 142 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	40c	3,506$1,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,112.53	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes	28c	3,344$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.32	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes	48c	3,162$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	58cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	49c	3,133$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,585.28	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked No	50c	3,082$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,536.53	137	27.7%38 W · 99 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed No	33c	2,987$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.59	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed No	47c	2,940$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,558.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	32cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event