TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,631,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,097,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,631,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18ea…f348backed Yes2c137,310$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.57520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick2cpaid+356.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee46…1d79backed Yes7c110,140$7,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,413.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c88,723$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.08933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes3c69,445$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.0323731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Yes2c39,349$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes3c37,270$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.28119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes3c36,080$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.041513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes2c35,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.991827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c5…8356backed Yes2c29,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Yes3c28,992$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4365…4076backed Yes3c27,313$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.89520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Yes3c24,293$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.213135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c21,110$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.082725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yes8c20,871$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Yes4c20,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes2c19,480$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.261811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes2c19,141$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.831631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c21backed Yes3c18,564$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.7875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c18,243$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8322723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes3c16,912$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9828933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c16,405$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.094599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes3c15,637$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.078721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d2…a5fcbacked Yes2c15,177$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes3c12,879$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.171915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes3c12,797$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.835617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes4c10,436$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0617746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…576dbacked Yes2c10,351$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes2c10,000$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4417823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c8…f51abacked Yes3c9,995$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.85714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-79.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes3c9,453$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.526339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes3c8,888$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6422344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1137…74e9backed Yes2c8,501$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.471216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-70.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c8,362$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6244423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542f…85d3backed Yes4c8,245$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ff…9b95backed Yes3c8,092$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked Yes3c7,958$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.26280%0 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes2c7,911$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.741089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Yes4c6,809$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes3c6,674$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.212445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c6,672$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.191,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes2c6,664$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.86783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e5…6444backed Yes6c6,565$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x612e…fdebbacked Yes4c6,467$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes2c6,402$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.53287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a1…5f52backed Yes6c6,185$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Yes18c5,540$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes2c5,433$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.017635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes2c5,189$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.04996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad9…6b63backed Yes2c5,100$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes3c4,952$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.82110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Yes2c4,945$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.415531.6%49 W · 106 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c4,726$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes3c4,686$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c4,390$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.032,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes3c4,300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Yes5c4,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes2c4,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b5…92f7backed Yes4c3,891$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes3c3,774$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aab…5840backed Yes10c3,756$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.751136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes3c3,651$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.521346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes3c3,640$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e7d6backed Yes4c3,469$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12880%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a2…bef8backed Yes5c3,463$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.621315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes4c3,399$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.372334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes2c3,226$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7418439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes3c3,197$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked Yes3c3,189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.27156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-89.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes5c3,038$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.232941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes5c3,029$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.438640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes4c3,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3d…66a1backed Yes4c2,815$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc1…92c0backed Yes3c2,777$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes3c2,769$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.594434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041e…18b5backed Yes2c2,714$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bb…a1a7backed Yes3c2,702$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes9c2,589$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee1…fc10backed Yes3c2,568$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+83.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes2c2,550$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.731163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes3c2,500$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.58718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes3c2,371$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Yes3c2,290$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.36835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e8…4747backed Yes3c2,266$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes5c2,215$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes2c2,195$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes14c2,192$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes8c2,176$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.18933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes3c2,169$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.94616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick3cpaid+171.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8484…7b05backed Yes2c2,110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Yes2c2,050$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.28825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7734…0435backed Yes3c2,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.69520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182f…87d2backed Yes3c2,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585369.8%37 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Yes2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes5c1,881$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.741553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes5c1,841$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes2c1,818$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e7…045abacked Yes3c1,737$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-62.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed Yes10c1,732$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.24259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes2c1,700$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.925326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes2c1,699$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9737540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.