TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,197,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$597,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,197,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c107,201$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3423731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes2c50,000$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.434626.1%12 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes1c45,390$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb778…c8dabacked Yes1c42,900$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes1c41,915$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.5711230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes1c35,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c32,123$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.34933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked Yes1c31,579$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.64156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-89.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c29,803$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.372725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7062…f100backed Yes1c26,766$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c26,382$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.981163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c25,555$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5510443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes1c22,008$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.191915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c21,923$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.671811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes1c21,801$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.44287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes1c20,859$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.87119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked Yes1c20,068$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes1c19,520$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.471631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes2c19,400$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.951513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c18,589$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6422723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes1c17,412$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd76…22febacked Yes2c14,998$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes1c14,799$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c14,325$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.184599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb30…1485backed Yes1c13,976$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes1c13,052$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.49996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked Yes1c11,394$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.35280%0 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes1c11,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…98babacked Yes1c11,087$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.561030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdea…3f24backed Yes1c10,659$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes1c10,057$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Yes2c10,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.351618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-50.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes1c9,365$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7228933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc285…a33cbacked Yes1c9,238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-89.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c7,711$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.91089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aab…5840backed Yes1c6,350$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes1c6,021$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.04521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…86dabacked Yes1c5,993$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.412040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a2…bef8backed Yes1c5,770$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes1c5,341$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9b…e28ebacked Yes1c5,084$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd199…05e4backed Yes1c5,084$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes1c5,026$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.464434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c6…38b6backed Yes1c4,755$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.423751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ce…2563backed Yes1c4,612$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a1…9f06backed Yes1c4,612$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e7d6backed Yes1c4,050$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7480%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes1c3,643$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.426339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes1c3,406$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Yes1c3,230$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.232433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Yes1c3,001$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.585648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ff…37adbacked Yes2c2,892$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c2,891$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.65160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes1c2,845$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.32128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3460…eb49backed Yes1c2,839$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…6fbebacked Yes1c2,783$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-77.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes1c2,778$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa113…180fbacked Yes1c2,679$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes1c2,458$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes1c2,457$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d5…3408backed Yes1c2,456$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,444$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.292,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…de95backed Yes1c2,256$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes1c2,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes1c2,222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1304…138cbacked Yes1c2,163$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d51…6c59backed Yes1c2,073$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31225%3 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Yes1c2,024$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5815151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes1c1,963$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6315751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes1c1,889$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9497…bd20backed Yes1c1,834$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…efe2backed Yes1c1,696$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes1c1,667$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Yes1c1,471$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes1c1,455$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.521,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4a…bfc7backed Yes1c1,442$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes2c1,344$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5f…46b9backed Yes1c1,266$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8f…b281backed Yes1c1,261$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b8…300abacked Yes1c1,247$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Yes1c1,230$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc57…75b2backed Yes1c1,216$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a5…dea0backed Yes1c1,159$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3795…4c73backed Yes1c1,157$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes1c1,134$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.347744.2%34 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes1c1,128$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.765427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a06…bd21backed Yes1c1,099$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81db…eb43backed Yes1c934.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes1c922$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0625355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbd…3b2fbacked Yes1c811.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes2c802.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff1f…ca06backed Yes1c682.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b7…ece2backed Yes1c670.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.