Tennis · resolved market

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdbb0026e902705c680c170f43489536cef50af77e1d4713b80e907b13a2a7c

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,065,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,067,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,065,776 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed No	68c	176,306$119,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,094.29	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes	53c	137,125$73,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,066.42	1,193	48.9%583 W · 610 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a35…0d46backed Yes	74c	101,399$74,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,712.58	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Yes	35c	75,541$26,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,731.86	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fe…9607backed Yes	42c	70,849$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,848.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	35c	61,313$21,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,598.48	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	33c	45,382$14,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,584.08	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes	32c	39,053$12,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,555.99	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	33c	38,837$12,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,121.54	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	37c	37,795$13,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,815.34	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	32c	36,485$11,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,809.81	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	75c	36,301$27,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,037.87	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	73c	31,613$22,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,630.48	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Yes	43c	31,542$13,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,979.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	52c	27,234$14,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,097.43	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	37c	27,004$9,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,145.19	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb3…b7febacked Yes	71c	25,995$18,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,492.16	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No	39c	25,001$9,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,846.54	178	23%41 W · 137 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed No	69c	25,000$17,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,250	101	62.4%63 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes	32c	24,542$7,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,574.87	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	32c	19,835$6,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,393.95	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	34c	19,237$6,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,685.54	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes	35c	17,551$6,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,413.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+43%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No	69c	17,390$11,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,999.31	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes	49c	16,764$8,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,539.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	31c	15,892$4,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,965.55	220	37.7%83 W · 137 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes	45c	15,684$7,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,605.9	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	42c	15,500$6,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,975.22	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Yes	34c	15,264$5,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,073.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.66per pick	34cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	30c	15,259$4,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,631.02	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes	53c	15,171$8,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,107.38	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	33c	15,152$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,151.52	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	11cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes	34c	14,650$4,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,657.92	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes	38c	14,529$5,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,049.31	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes	74c	14,098$10,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,720.35	375	40.8%153 W · 222 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked No	49c	13,582$6,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,641.24	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+80.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	9c	13,319$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.42	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Yes	71c	13,013$9,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,837.83	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yes	32c	12,324$3,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,432.84	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes	73c	12,079$8,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,285.45	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Yes	34c	12,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,920	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Yes	33c	12,000$3,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,039.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	25c	11,621$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,670.66	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	34c	10,995$3,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,217.55	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No	28c	10,908$3,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,047.34	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafff…33ffbacked Yes	35c	10,422$3,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,802.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+44%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No	37c	10,207$3,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,737.06	289	33.2%96 W · 193 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes	37c	10,136$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,385.96	311	46%143 W · 168 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No	26c	10,000$2,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,630.07	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4afc…f01cbacked Yes	75c	9,723$7,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,440.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	47c	9,664$4,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,157.99	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes	41c	9,117$3,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,369.8	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes	33c	9,091$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,090.91	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfed7…043ebacked Yes	31c	8,822$2,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,048.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes	50c	8,802$4,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,433.33	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes	11c	8,762$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,792.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+292.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	50c	8,497$4,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,248.55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes	35c	8,301$2,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,406.5	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No	63c	8,244$5,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,193.45	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5226…b227backed Yes	56c	8,184$4,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,601.1	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a5…afc8backed Yes	74c	8,061$5,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,134.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…ebdbbacked Yes	42c	8,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,640	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	34c	7,748$2,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,135.8	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes	74c	7,636$5,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,995.32	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	33cpaid	+118.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	63c	7,337$4,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,715.25	757	48.6%368 W · 389 L	+16.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	64c	7,276$4,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.59	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes	42c	7,000$2,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,079.98	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes	34c	6,765$2,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,472.29	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed No	26c	6,681$1,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,757.04	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	28c	6,372$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,599.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6790…482bbacked Yes	32c	6,194$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,211.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes	60c	6,160$3,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.82	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+82.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e1…e3c4backed Yes	33c	6,066$2,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,064.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes	74c	6,000$4,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,577.99	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.19per pick	54cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2825…c0e3backed Yes	47c	5,854$2,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,124.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Yes	48c	5,842$2,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.83	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ac…cb52backed No	20c	5,689$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	51c	5,444$2,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,766.69	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	32c	5,357$1,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,663.27	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4825…5ec5backed No	28c	5,325$1,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	57c	5,087$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.59	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4728…6426backed Yes	35c	5,032$1,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,273.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.97	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes	32c	4,967$1,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,369.55	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked No	19c	4,765$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.49	631	44.1%278 W · 353 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…9c71backed Yes	74c	4,700$3,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.86	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes	77c	4,673$3,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-35%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b7…52bdbacked No	27c	4,640$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes	42c	4,607$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,667.77	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	34c	4,581$1,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,037.2	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes	27c	4,571$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,336.4	193	49.7%96 W · 97 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Yes	73c	4,564$3,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.69	127	55.9%71 W · 56 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No	55c	4,557$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510.32	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Yes	33c	4,550$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,048.5	118	59.3%70 W · 48 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes	33c	4,515$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,024.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8e…6975backed Yes	32c	4,386$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,982.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Yes	30c	4,346$1,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,061.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+137.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f23…1832backed Yes	35c	4,346$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,845.95	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No	27c	4,262$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.93	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	45c	4,233$1,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,894.07	579	39.7%230 W · 349 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event