Tennis · resolved market

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f7008eee565f248e35fd9bd92a9bbe1bb7f39bdea0ac2ed567790e6a0c3dba

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,052,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,172,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	6c	454,288$28,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,518.75	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	13c	213,396$27,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,429.6	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x573c…1277backed Yes	5c	155,309$7,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,990.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No	74c	150,000$110,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,300.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes	5c	108,116$5,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,945.03	231	26%60 W · 171 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…eb5cbacked Yes	21c	74,779$15,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	6c	63,201$3,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,958.44	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes	10c	52,466$5,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,081.86	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Yes	9c	45,739$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,316.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes	6c	40,142$2,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,447.44	123	35%43 W · 80 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	77c	39,136$30,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,830.93	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe2…8f16backed No	74c	38,900$28,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,152.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	3c	35,267$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.56	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes	5c	35,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.98	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafff…33ffbacked Yes	7c	34,447$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+44%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…11f9backed Yes	28c	32,416$8,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,994.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	11c	30,462$3,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,408.07	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	12c	30,346$3,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,557.16	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes	5c	30,212$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.35	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8283…29aebacked Yes	13c	30,000$3,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,869.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c80…02c3backed Yes	4c	29,961$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.04	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Yes	5c	27,969$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes	8c	27,098$2,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,044.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	13c	26,100$3,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,355.51	289	33.2%96 W · 193 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yes	4c	26,038$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.76	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee46…1d79backed Yes	3c	25,000$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	6c	22,269$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.04	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes	5c	21,084$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.76	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	10c	20,546$2,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes	8c	20,093$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683.79	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	7c	19,750$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.16	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…ac22backed Yes	7c	19,442$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes	6c	19,133$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	7c	18,674$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.87	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6866…6d3dbacked Yes	27c	18,312$4,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,998.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2260…ad28backed Yes	5c	17,999$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.97	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58ed…b2d8backed Yes	9c	17,162$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.66	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes	26c	16,638$4,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,398.48	375	40.8%153 W · 222 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0122…d4a9backed Yes	8c	16,255$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.54	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes	24c	16,138$3,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920.81	191	34%65 W · 126 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	6c	13,403$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.63	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	29c	13,132$3,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,742.9	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes	10c	12,890$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+292.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes	11c	12,621$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.8wins	-0.23per pick	47cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Yes	10c	12,520$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.59	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes	9c	11,620$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	22c	11,414$2,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540.48	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1d…1d05backed Yes	20c	11,247$2,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,284.51	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes	6c	11,161$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	13c	11,112$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.27	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes	27c	10,757$2,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,860.61	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26cd…bcd0backed Yes	23c	10,488$2,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,437.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5b…aa7fbacked Yes	12c	10,400$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	3c	10,054$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.88	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No	73c	10,049$7,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,707.47	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes	8c	10,000$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.09	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	20cpaid	+143.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	178	23%41 W · 137 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1503…b284backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30c8…f51abacked Yes	7c	9,995$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes	2c	9,563$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.59	99	6.1%6 W · 93 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	7c	9,260$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.6	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+6.4wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Yes	27c	8,480$2,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.21	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	7c	8,352$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.58	82	26.8%22 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes	6c	8,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes	5c	8,300$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.45	119	19.3%23 W · 96 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	8,027$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.58	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes	8c	7,998$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.25	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	6c	7,988$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.24	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	10c	7,855$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.1	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e5…6444backed Yes	4c	7,833$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes	26c	7,829$2,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.46	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x22f9…a93bbacked Yes	24c	7,348$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f00…82d0backed Yes	11c	7,298$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+119.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x893f…f7e9backed Yes	28c	7,253$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc58…1fdebacked Yes	25c	6,411$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,593.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes	6c	6,210$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes	10c	6,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fb…4a87backed No	76c	5,863$4,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.44	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…5e28backed Yes	5c	5,855$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	5c	5,852$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.46	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d72…4fa6backed Yes	26c	5,769$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	7c	5,714$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f7…bfb1backed Yes	20c	5,585$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef6…e212backed Yes	7c	5,582$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes	4c	5,576$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee54…6969backed Yes	8c	5,172$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ff…9b95backed Yes	7c	5,076$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.53	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ff…37adbacked Yes	6c	5,024$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.51	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	19cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ec…f5b5backed Yes	6c	5,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes	4c	5,000$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.75	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…fa0fbacked Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes	4c	5,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	871	35.4%308 W · 563 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes	3c	5,000$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.17	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+154.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4a9…df70backed Yes	10c	4,818$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa0…6c21backed Yes	27c	4,769$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,297.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…9438backed Yes	4c	4,692$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,673$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.81	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bca…ca1fbacked Yes	3c	4,491$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes	7c	4,385$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.35	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event