TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7748…58d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+594.4%+$144.66
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.71
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.92
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.47
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.33
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.73
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$19.26
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$76.22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$56.21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+316.6%+$105.64
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$29.37
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$20.69
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$14.94
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.79
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$85.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+239.1%+$29.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38%+$26.53
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+311.8%+$38.93
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+227.5%+$57.06
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$30.08
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.37
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$48.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.18
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$58.42
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$40.72
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$68.73
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$50.95
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$123.69
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.87
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.04
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.56
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.21
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29%+$28.04
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$76.78
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.61
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$5.37
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.45
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.55
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.77
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$52.91
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.84
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$24.54
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.44
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.23
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.41
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$152.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$117.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$319.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$1,430.07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$252.03
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$181.03
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$206.96
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$450
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$734.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$191.9
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$215.85
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.72
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.48
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.22
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.14
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.98
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$114.19
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$59.91
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.29
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.45
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$456.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.44
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,398.18
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+98.4%+$2,008.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$703.55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.34
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.42
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.52
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+396.5%+$863.43
Bitway FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$214.92
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$752.85
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$615
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,088.27
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$115.99
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$536.33
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+411.2%+$1,306.92
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.37
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.46
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$663.09
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$203.49
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$327.27
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$266.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.58
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.17
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$25.08
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$326.37
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$229.77
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$55.06
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$37.2
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+741.1%+$741.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.76
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$76.29
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,709Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.1%+$2,451.82
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+900%+$903.51
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$84.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$135.88
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+282.2%+$371.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+250.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$430.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.