World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d172daa7b6ea792c45b00c43c1fbe97a4526c1db3f89f1eb8251261f9e9498f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 0c | 22,194$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 20,043$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…6693backed Yes | 3c | 11,997$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe820…9f12backed Yes | 1c | 9,232$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…69ebbacked Yes | 1c | 8,635$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 7,256$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked Yes | 2c | 6,052$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 0c | 5,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…eb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,721$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…9090backed Yes | 0c | 4,593$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 4,367$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…e8e3backed Yes | 2c | 4,148$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,025$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…f5cdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,571$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe125…f1acbacked Yes | 1c | 3,355$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 31c | 2,955$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 69c | 2,256$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.28 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…f268backed Yes | 1c | 2,158$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…892abacked Yes | 1c | 2,139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 1c | 2,016$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 28c | 2,002$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,971$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d6b1backed Yes | 1c | 1,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…cf5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,823$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 7c | 1,797$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…df13backed Yes | 3c | 1,762$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 28c | 1,717$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…5b65backed Yes | 1c | 1,691$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…55c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,529$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…1ee8backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…35d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,395$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,367$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…0508backed Yes | 34c | 1,344$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…f6eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,338$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…85f6backed Yes | 1c | 1,246$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 4c | 1,130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…24eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 1,002$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.73 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…abafbacked Yes | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…4d1bbacked Yes | 2c | 917.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 3c | 894.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked Yes | 30c | 888.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6fc1backed Yes | 2c | 727.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…58a4backed Yes | 18c | 683.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 645.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 31c | 624.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 25c | 592.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 30c | 586.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes | 25c | 572.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Yes | 26c | 515.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…0699backed Yes | 2c | 501.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…5276backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 79c | 457$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 21c | 457$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…84fabacked Yes | 7c | 452.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 10c | 438.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 426.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…8699backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…26ccbacked Yes | 25c | 396.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 75c | 382.11$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…f920backed Yes | 31c | 375.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 74c | 350.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 30c | 329.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 300.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…a6a1backed Yes | 36c | 290$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…2b78backed Yes | 16c | 259.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 71c | 256.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 73c | 241$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 27c | 241$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…a39cbacked Yes | 37c | 210.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…51e3backed Yes | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…f285backed Yes | 24c | 208.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 201.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…3bc1backed Yes | 12c | 198.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…6935backed Yes | 22c | 184.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…632fbacked Yes | 17c | 180.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…de64backed Yes | 13c | 169.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 74c | 159.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 9c | 158$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…b01abacked Yes | 7c | 153.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 153$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 12c | 139.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…6efcbacked No | 71c | 135.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd9…d049backed Yes | 7c | 133.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 71c | 132$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 11c | 124.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…3489backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 72c | 101.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…252ebacked Yes | 30c | 100.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.