TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa65c…3bc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76%+$50.49
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.15
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+391.4%+$114.25
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+1,090.1%+$146.05
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.95
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$22.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$29.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$14.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$29.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$9.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$4.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$21.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$13.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$18.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ahli Saudi Club leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.