World Politics · resolved market
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02230382929c06eecab424465c7dbaa9b16e5d963270dba27cc0cd6183561e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa527…4228backed Yes | 29c | 34,836$10,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,641.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked No | 5c | 34,808$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed No | 1c | 19,815$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 3c | 19,670$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 47c | 19,181$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.94 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 7c | 17,190$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.27 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 61c | 15,346$9,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,368.12 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 13c | 12,816$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…47cebacked No | 41c | 11,678$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…ea14backed No | 10c | 10,424$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 77c | 10,325$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.55 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 9,685$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 10c | 8,972$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 69c | 7,480$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.48 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed No | 0c | 7,338$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…7065backed No | 1c | 7,210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 67c | 6,544$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…8c06backed Yes | 50c | 6,481$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 71c | 5,233$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.53 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…f7ecbacked No | 30c | 4,941$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.91 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,696$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 56c | 4,424$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 70c | 4,016$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.99 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 69c | 3,954$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…561ebacked No | 11c | 3,609$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 63c | 3,596$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.53 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 19c | 3,490$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 32c | 3,315$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.11 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…6e19backed No | 1c | 2,992$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…a1a8backed Yes | 79c | 2,833$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Yes | 32c | 2,598$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 58c | 2,586$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.6 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…e5c9backed Yes | 31c | 2,378$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…2200backed Yes | 36c | 2,238$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 27c | 2,216$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.3 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…48cebacked Yes | 33c | 2,208$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…cf87backed No | 65c | 2,205$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…f991backed No | 1c | 2,178$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 16c | 1,996$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 66c | 1,977$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.24 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 33c | 1,930$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 16c | 1,676$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.43 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 1,578$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…ab8dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,577$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,549$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.52 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 17c | 1,528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 48c | 1,451$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.65 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 14c | 1,421$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…26e0backed Yes | 34c | 1,397$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…5ac8backed No | 10c | 1,360$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 1c | 1,334$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…af03backed Yes | 36c | 1,306$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…5653backed No | 1c | 1,277$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 59c | 1,262$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 72c | 1,199$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.63 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 1,165$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.57 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e45ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,112$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes | 31c | 1,088$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 3c | 1,064$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…8619backed Yes | 38c | 1,018$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked No | 2c | 999.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 66c | 994.94$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.75 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 34c | 988.9$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 64c | 969.81$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.58 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 44c | 962.44$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…5fd7backed No | 11c | 957.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 39c | 951.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed No | 14c | 945.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 25c | 933.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6051backed No | 18c | 924.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 69c | 909.78$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 69c | 905.73$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…b03fbacked No | 74c | 893.19$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…8ebdbacked Yes | 29c | 870.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…2059backed Yes | 31c | 844.56$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 69c | 796.5$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.31 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…7ae7backed Yes | 30c | 784.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 71c | 776.58$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda6…ecfebacked Yes | 32c | 775.71$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 73c | 745.51$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.27 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…c8f4backed Yes | 59c | 710.02$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…2269backed No | 14c | 688.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed Yes | 32c | 688.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 28c | 673.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…d070backed No | 62c | 670.47$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 65c | 669.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.3 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Yes | 36c | 651.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…8c95backed Yes | 31c | 617.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…8d0abacked No | 71c | 615.02$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…4ea1backed Yes | 25c | 603.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…d1d8backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…2276backed Yes | 29c | 591.94$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Yes | 37c | 590.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…4ee7backed No | 67c | 581.25$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2859…7d0bbacked Yes | 37c | 580.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed No | 67c | 579.27$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.96 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.