Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967342718346c09f22c2c63d5f9987abfd0dc45ebd1d3db938579ec84459a7bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,464,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,452,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,464,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 28c | 1,123,483$317,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805,714.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 72c | 468,000$336,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336,959.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 144,365$103,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,466.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 71c | 123,000$87,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,329.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 72c | 97,563$70,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,197.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 74,529$21,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,357.88 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…0633backed No | 72c | 59,403$42,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,770.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 71c | 50,000$35,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 41,428$29,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,867.52 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 26c | 39,131$10,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,956.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 28c | 27,409$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,710.28 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 71c | 18,000$12,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,780 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 71c | 15,385$10,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,923.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 28c | 13,393$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,642.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 24c | 13,066$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.31 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 11,081$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.42 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 10,953$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.75 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 9,536$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.72 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 18c | 8,268$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.29 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 53c | 7,571$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 72c | 7,050$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 72c | 6,857$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 72c | 6,838$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 6,688$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.73 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 6,514$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 6,066$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 4,874$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.42 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 4,173$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.13 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 74c | 4,093$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked No | 54c | 3,677$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 72c | 3,600$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 72c | 3,533$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.47 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 54c | 3,489$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 72c | 3,456$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.06 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 74c | 3,438$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.83 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 73c | 3,095$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.35 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 72c | 3,029$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 3,010$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 26c | 2,892$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 74c | 2,800$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 2,657$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.09 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 1c | 2,584$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 72c | 2,502$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 72c | 2,400$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 33c | 2,374$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 2,299$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.07 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 48c | 2,216$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.2 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,916$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.53 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 1,833$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.62 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 54c | 1,678$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.64 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 1,654$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.22 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 26c | 1,641$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,552$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.1 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 17c | 1,548$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 1,439$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.13 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 1,407$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.08 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 26c | 1,362$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.77 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 72c | 1,235$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.88 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,220$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 74c | 1,040$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 1,040$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.79 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 1,028$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.27 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 73c | 999.99$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 74c | 942.11$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.16 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 938.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 862.71$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 64c | 810.92$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 51c | 776.37$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.95 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 728.93$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.77 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked No | 73c | 686.81$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 74c | 640$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 27c | 637.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 74c | 624$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 72c | 624$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.28 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 603.43$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.4 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed No | 73c | 601.92$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 19c | 600$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 72c | 574$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 563$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 74c | 560$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 71c | 536.7$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.7 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 72c | 524.19$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.88 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.