Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd630d6a780860b3dd244e7f48f8e50c7a60468c746cff91c0cfce27f70f475be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,693,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,690,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,693,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed No | 52c | 1,229,693$638,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590,986.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 47c | 281,110$133,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,433.02 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 48c | 200,000$95,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 191,646$93,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,662.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes | 48c | 90,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 51c | 74,678$38,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,619.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 49c | 67,340$33,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,269.75 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 49c | 61,543$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 48c | 41,436$19,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,518.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 51c | 40,448$20,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,690.57 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 40,023$19,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,277.83 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 48c | 38,918$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,500 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 48c | 20,945$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,891.61 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 19,894$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.32 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 47c | 17,500$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 52c | 16,848$8,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,761.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 49c | 16,412$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 49c | 15,927$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,804.63 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 15,129$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.88 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 75c | 14,858$11,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 13,910$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.9 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked Yes | 51c | 12,166$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 11,561$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.03 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.94 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 8,384$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.24 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 7,548$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.79 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 50c | 7,163$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.15 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 48c | 6,791$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.58 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 50c | 6,460$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 49c | 5,780$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…07d1backed Yes | 49c | 5,538$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes | 52c | 4,667$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked Yes | 52c | 4,261$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 47c | 4,118$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Yes | 49c | 3,770$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Yes | 49c | 3,748$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.9 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 49c | 3,276$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.12 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 40c | 2,923$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,870$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 50c | 2,590$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 2,577$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.98 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 54c | 2,542$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 2,542$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.33 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked No | 60c | 2,469$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Yes | 49c | 2,456$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 51c | 2,211$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.76 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 47c | 2,094$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,967$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 49c | 1,964$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.36 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…242bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 47c | 1,849$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.95 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,799$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 41c | 1,780$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 47c | 1,718$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 55c | 1,393$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.85 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,254$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 51c | 1,229$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.97 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 1,166$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.3 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Yes | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 25c | 1,110$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,105$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 49c | 1,078$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 53c | 1,043$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 6c | 1,033$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 29c | 998.62$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 995.25$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.