Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f16fc69c432e0df1714fa89da39814774eb9039355d576a2b88111424fe7427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 47c | 119,556$55,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,995.94 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 47c | 88,465$41,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,578.42 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 53c | 75,420$40,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,101.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed Under | 56c | 59,663$33,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,370.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 54c | 30,520$16,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,039.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Over | 50c | 27,592$13,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,796.09 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 51c | 25,098$12,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,335.57 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 23,918$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 47c | 21,233$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 51c | 16,086$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 13,578$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,245.66 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 10,546$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.23 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 10,044$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.98 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 53c | 9,990$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 68c | 9,153$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 8,962$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.18 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 50c | 8,880$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Over | 44c | 8,713$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 47c | 7,237$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.48 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 44c | 6,400$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 57c | 5,537$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.84 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 51c | 5,239$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 5,028$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.48 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed Under | 50c | 4,880$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 44c | 4,800$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 50c | 4,718$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 4,466$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.55 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Under | 51c | 4,333$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 53c | 4,077$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 48c | 3,819$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 52c | 3,461$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 48c | 3,072$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…52d1backed Under | 54c | 2,803$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 53c | 2,727$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Under | 52c | 2,671$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 45c | 2,294$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 50c | 2,280$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,231$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.23 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 53c | 2,223$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 52c | 2,185$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 2,168$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 46c | 2,023$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.83 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Over | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 13c | 1,961$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.29 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Under | 56c | 1,776$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 1,763$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.34 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 48c | 1,656$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 44c | 1,510$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.77 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 1,457$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 1,444$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.28 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 52c | 1,300$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 58c | 1,291$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 53c | 1,270$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 1,105$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…167abacked Over | 46c | 1,075$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 44c | 1,040$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 44c | 1,040$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Under | 73c | 1,025$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.05 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Under | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 49c | 999.83$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.91 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 53c | 961.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 958.28$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.39 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 944.48$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.61 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…8887backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 53c | 912.83$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 48c | 884$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Under | 66c | 847.53$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 48c | 840$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Over | 45c | 818.32$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 775.4$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.