TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$690,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$718,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over47c119,556$55,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,995.9416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under53c100,000$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over47c88,465$41,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,578.427753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under53c75,420$40,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,101.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Under56c59,663$33,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,370.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under54c30,520$16,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,039.22774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over50c27,592$13,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,796.096346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under51c25,098$12,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,335.5731947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c23,918$9,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,805.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over47c21,233$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,004.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20018958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over51c16,086$8,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2041030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c13,578$6,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,245.6613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c10,546$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.2311828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c10,044$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,920.9856241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.962356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under53c9,990$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under68c9,153$6,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.633351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c8,962$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.1859847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under50c8,880$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4401450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Over44c8,713$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over47c7,237$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.4811149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over44c6,400$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81614652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-80.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9818362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over43c5,814$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under57c5,537$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.843871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under51c5,239$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.22653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c5,028$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.4891435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under50c4,880$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over44c4,800$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11213155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under50c4,718$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c4,466$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.5577342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under51c4,333$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under53c4,077$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9204533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over48c3,819$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.883033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under52c3,461$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over48c3,072$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed Under54c2,803$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over44c2,800$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Under53c2,727$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.682334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Under52c2,671$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05614158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over45c2,294$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.182334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under50c2,280$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c2,231$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.2332037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under53c2,223$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.811560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under52c2,185$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under77c2,168$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.514463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over46c2,023$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.8320545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over47c2,021$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9503132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick10cpaid+204.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8807959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over13c1,961$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c1,788$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.295032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7119652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Under56c1,776$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over29c1,763$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.3472442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over48c1,656$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.252733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70417062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70414459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over44c1,510$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7718238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c1,457$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.741,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under65c1,444$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.283467.6%23 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under52c1,300$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6194242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Under58c1,291$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under53c1,270$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.823661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52814355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52812157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Under53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.085754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Over47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c1,105$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9559332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over46c1,075$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under53c1,070$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over44c1,040$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.612757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over44c1,040$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Under73c1,025$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.056250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Under71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.999254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Under55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.994845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under49c999.83$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.917433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under53c961.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c958.28$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c944.48$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6f…8887backed Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under53c912.83$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over48c884$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Under66c847.53$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2898666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over48c840$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.25238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked Over45c818.32$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c775.4$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.48953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over25c760$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.