TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c20,301$7,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,240.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c20,256$7,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.394,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under13c10,809$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,365.1111437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under55c8,932$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c8,546$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.2412649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over72c8,017$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.5388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under12c7,406$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,546.368116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under15c6,518$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.6920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over42c5,972$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c5,029$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.015954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over1c4,900$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under14c4,469$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.631849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under18c3,947$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.5474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over70c2,593$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over70c2,300$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.3814463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over51c2,250$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Under16c1,875$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5751070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under17c1,866$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.9972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5250…d73dbacked Over48c1,450$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under35c1,423$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under41c1,186$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.815547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under17c1,176$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.477131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Over63c1,163$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under38c1,124$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.54143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under15c1,106$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.161,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under72c1,072$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1411753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c1,067$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.521,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under12c971.43$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.862,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Over38c934.21$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under45c796.97$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.332152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under16c775.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2848950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c706.64$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.681,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ee…1183backed Over49c658.29$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c645.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.245754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under15c529.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.915345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over76c460.53$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Over75c415.36$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.12070%14 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5c…5dddbacked Over75c402.67$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…212dbacked Over32c390.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6235428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over15c372$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.738648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under15c360.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under56c357.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over5c338.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2118961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under50c332.02$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.782339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Under12c325.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+130.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…0c70backed Under14c321.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed Under35c318.83$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over17c300$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over70c290.51$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5516232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under18c279.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.74542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over30c253.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.141540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over80c249.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.943452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aab…2a65backed Over60c234.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under52c230.23$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…c9e3backed Over35c215.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Under14c215.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.362138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8314351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under13c194.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over78c191.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.993056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over24c188.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over56c179.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over56c179.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006560%39 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Under17c176.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.35832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over59c164.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Under61c160.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0444…55a5backed Under12c151.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9fe…bcd7backed Under35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under13c130.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.774934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over78c127.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…0451backed Under12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+149.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2d…f0edbacked Under73c115.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over52c114.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under10c111$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.91540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Over26c110.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.741040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Over50c110.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under46c100.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1518358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd79…60a6backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over50c98.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.154134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0281…34b6backed Under27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under57c91.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8824557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over60c84.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3636545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under13c78.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.522049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over45c70.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.598644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Under52c70.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5766…124fbacked Under20c70$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2350…570ebacked Over16c69.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over70c67.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under16c66.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6528859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over63c65.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7587…521cbacked Over79c62.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e66…79f0backed Under38c61.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over26c61.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.955018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Over18c60.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.