Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2226713b54c74c63c997e74246c9700bd246cf927561dbfe3b5e700395b451e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 22,582$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 13c | 6,724$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.09 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 2,661$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 14c | 2,304$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…7e8bbacked Over | 13c | 2,230$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 12c | 2,041$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.87 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 17c | 1,818$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.73 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 13c | 1,802$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 13c | 1,425$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 1,144$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 11c | 1,083$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…fe9ebacked Over | 13c | 961.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 14c | 879$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 14c | 714.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 14c | 714.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3cb6backed Over | 14c | 546.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 13c | 296.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 14c | 290.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 14c | 281$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 14c | 274.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 12c | 232.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 10c | 175.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 14c | 148.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 14c | 124.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 14c | 100.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 15c | 94.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 14c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Over | 14c | 83.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.