TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd79…60a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.5
Takefusa Kubo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+188.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$75.28
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+424%+$125.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+408.7%+$81.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$159.43
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+92.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$62.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.