TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a3a…eb9abacked No66c5,038$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes34c3,573$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.877241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No63c2,228$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.2146464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No61c1,860$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes37c510$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.74330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20531171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes41c488.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No78c482.85$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.991,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes34c426.13$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes32c396.44$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.752133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c342.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.982,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes34c302.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.710525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes37c271.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes37c270.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No64c270$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes38c265.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No63c262.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9712875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No65c261.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes41c256.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.919935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes37c197.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1619713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No59c181.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.532,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes36c180$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5527242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c171.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c170.84$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.042,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f9…2233backed Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602528%7 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb210…11bcbacked Yes42c149.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.233557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508155.6%45 W · 36 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.419641.8%82 W · 114 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…1499backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No58c122.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0319862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016147.2%76 W · 85 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f4…2ccfbacked Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf88a…11debacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010829.6%32 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ac…433dbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426230.6%19 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…5651backed No67c93.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.013036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd79…60a6backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1366…4f56backed Yes37c88.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c87.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.132,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes40c87.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No61c87.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.663,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes36c84.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes79c76.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe545…e9bebacked No66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.767034.3%24 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes40c75.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes39c71.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810550.5%53 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.716946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511549.6%57 W · 58 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013037.7%49 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Yes41c56.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313740.1%55 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571a…177abacked Yes37c52.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.532842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes25c51.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98013.8%11 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510149.5%50 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1528…1740backed Yes44c45.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20150%0 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x035f…8e20backed Yes34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Yes46c43.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfa…2dd7backed Yes49c40.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…6f03backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Yes50c40.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205151%26 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69fd…b2f0backed No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes37c32.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…7a96backed Yes37c31.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.745472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127945.6%36 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.119040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279e…8f57backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes39c25.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…7fd3backed Yes50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.051,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.212058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc8…3e92backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ea…7732backed No67c19.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No72c13.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8918473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.