TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe545…e9be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7034.3%24 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+562.3%+$238.78
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.93
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$105.8
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.87
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.45
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.32
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$51.73
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.41
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.6
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.82
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.67
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.61
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$37.69
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.56
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.85
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.78
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.36
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.85
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.21
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZEDI Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$5.89
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.17
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.14
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.91
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$5.91
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthelbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.27
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munarbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.18
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.92
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.92
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.75
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.47
Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.17
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Mihalikova/Nicholls vs Fernandez/Siegemundbacked Mihalikova/Nicholls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.23
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.63
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.73
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.88
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.53
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.25
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.15
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.38
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.86
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.91
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$11.02
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$161.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$18.3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.