Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd434e2e1f1e2ac12d9b39cf41f1be03b44cad3615832e8052396379f50ab5e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof Team Lynx, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 6,579$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.43 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PuckChamp | 56c | 3,978$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.38 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked PuckChamp | 59c | 3,759$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed PuckChamp | 51c | 3,376$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.71 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 46c | 2,645$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked PuckChamp | 56c | 2,417$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp | 56c | 2,388$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.57 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…f780backed PuckChamp | 51c | 2,013$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PuckChamp | 54c | 1,902$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.9 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PuckChamp | 79c | 1,632$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.25 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx | 45c | 1,596$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.73 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Lynx | 52c | 1,586$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.51 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Lynx | 44c | 1,586$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Team Lynx | 42c | 1,565$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.67 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Lynx | 72c | 1,365$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.99 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PuckChamp | 50c | 1,228$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.02 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Lynx | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Team Lynx | 44c | 975.47$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Lynx | 47c | 941.61$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.06 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 54c | 925$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.25 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 55c | 884.09$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.84 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Lynx | 52c | 815.91$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.3 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx | 29c | 736.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed PuckChamp | 79c | 653.82$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Lynx | 43c | 602.57$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed PuckChamp | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Team Lynx | 19c | 585.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Team Lynx | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked PuckChamp | 56c | 541.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx | 53c | 529.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.33 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Team Lynx | 54c | 511.32$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…7084backed Team Lynx | 50c | 503.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team Lynx | 51c | 500$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed PuckChamp | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Team Lynx | 41c | 443$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed PuckChamp | 50c | 424.26$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 423.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 43c | 416.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team Lynx | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Team Lynx | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp | 49c | 382.16$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx | 27c | 363.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 80c | 356.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 350.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 347.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed PuckChamp | 50c | 327.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 326.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Lynx | 51c | 307.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 306$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp | 31c | 301.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PuckChamp | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 298.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PuckChamp | 50c | 288.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 50c | 286.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 59c | 285.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 277.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Team Lynx | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Lynx | 59c | 263.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…f4b4backed Team Lynx | 24c | 255.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed PuckChamp | 31c | 251.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Lynx | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Lynx | 46c | 248.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Team Lynx | 11c | 246.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 239$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…c347backed PuckChamp | 38c | 234.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Team Lynx | 72c | 227.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed PuckChamp | 40c | 227.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Lynx | 74c | 223.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Lynx | 40c | 220.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked PuckChamp | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Team Lynx | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed PuckChamp | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Lynx | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Lynx | 11c | 196.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 194.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked PuckChamp | 63c | 190$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Lynx | 33c | 183.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Lynx | 43c | 182$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Lynx | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 43c | 176.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…0e0ebacked PuckChamp | 43c | 166.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Lynx | 57c | 166.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Team Lynx | 52c | 161.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -15.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Lynx | 41c | 153.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Team Lynx | 63c | 153.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PuckChamp | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Lynx | 54c | 146.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx | 32c | 146$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 145.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Lynx | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 131.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 129.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 123$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.