TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PuckChampof Team Lynx, PuckChamp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b7c…763fbacked PuckChamp36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Team Lynx29c2,748$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.256033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Lynx73c2,622$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.3850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed PuckChamp51c2,599$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.5510961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed PuckChamp46c2,507$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.8530452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed PuckChamp25c2,484$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.3547646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Lynx64c2,138$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.3221146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PuckChamp63c2,020$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.712,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Team Lynx75c1,996$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Lynx23c1,977$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6441455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Lynx63c1,890$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.072857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…47d2backed PuckChamp61c1,600$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked PuckChamp27c1,529$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.519340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Lynx20c1,472$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009340.9%38 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx42c1,394$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.589238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx30c1,246$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.969132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8b5abacked PuckChamp57c1,229$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Lynx68c1,115$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked PuckChamp33c1,088$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.516544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Team Lynx54c1,088$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74050850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx36c989.45$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1858943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca2…3ff2backed PuckChamp59c961$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Lynx38c954.04$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3925143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PuckChamp28c905.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.2599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba66…0779backed Team Lynx63c899.99$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx36c889.43$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5644049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Team Lynx36c874.44$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9719249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked PuckChamp61c870.43$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.713658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed PuckChamp43c869.38$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.678536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx34c730.86$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3456945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Team Lynx74c715.5$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.472744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx4c712.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.246132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed PuckChamp29c688.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.882250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp67c665.15$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.681,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx37c657.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1866947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed PuckChamp63c570$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.719547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked PuckChamp76c546.92$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.269242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Lynx56c501.2$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5438142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked PuckChamp37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed PuckChamp59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20529466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac70…97b6backed PuckChamp59c493.87$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed PuckChamp69c474.33$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.243860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44ea…7668backed Team Lynx64c465.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Lynx24c440$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.622543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Lynx37c430$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1221540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Team Lynx73c414.65$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034264.3%27 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Team Lynx74c410.85$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.032948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PuckChamp74c408.61$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.851,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Team Lynx22c404.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0420738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked PuckChamp60c399.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.112245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed Team Lynx54c383.26$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp59c379$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.61,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed PuckChamp62c357.56$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.254858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d1…6ee7backed PuckChamp28c338.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx47c332.71$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Lynx23c332.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8623736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed PuckChamp77c325.67$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.96159%36 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked PuckChamp43c323$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2161449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp49c322.12$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2879959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.653538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx44c318.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5958746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed PuckChamp30c314.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5713941.7%58 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked PuckChamp80c309$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.810551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx37c308.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.421,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked Team Lynx64c306.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.892055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Team Lynx55c306$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1525956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Lynx73c300$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22026445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef6…c725backed Team Lynx49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Lynx70c284$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2110643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Lynx64c281.62$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.289052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Team Lynx40c278.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.38825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Team Lynx33c274.88$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9516539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Lynx44c266.11$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8221328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Team Lynx25c249.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4910937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx25c241.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2493546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Lynx64c235.71$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3610040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Team Lynx64c232$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.484634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed Team Lynx22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aee…8c24backed PuckChamp44c226.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7418256%102 W · 80 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Lynx46c209.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2568345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Lynx74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team Lynx57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed PuckChamp37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12628044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked PuckChamp29c199.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6925348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed PuckChamp50c198.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx33c196.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5366545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked Team Lynx70c196.52$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1372040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed Team Lynx74c195.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.513946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp51c194.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6248057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked PuckChamp63c189.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4730146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Team Lynx54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Lynx48c183.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8627636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Lynx41c175$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa571…404cbacked Team Lynx51c173$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2360%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed Team Lynx51c173$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa838…5d04backed PuckChamp53c165.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.212441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Team Lynx60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed Team Lynx65c151.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.481020%2 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-67.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Team Lynx47c149.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7121344.1%94 W · 119 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.