Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c5e63924766be82d8fa8fbd87e0548381515073eb94288cc99537c9d8f4738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof Team Lynx, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b7c…763fbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Lynx | 29c | 2,748$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.25 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Lynx | 73c | 2,622$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.38 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed PuckChamp | 51c | 2,599$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.55 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PuckChamp | 46c | 2,507$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.85 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PuckChamp | 25c | 2,484$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.35 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Lynx | 64c | 2,138$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.32 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PuckChamp | 63c | 2,020$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.71 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Team Lynx | 75c | 1,996$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Lynx | 23c | 1,977$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.64 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 1,890$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…47d2backed PuckChamp | 61c | 1,600$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked PuckChamp | 27c | 1,529$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.51 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Lynx | 20c | 1,472$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 1,394$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx | 30c | 1,246$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8b5abacked PuckChamp | 57c | 1,229$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Lynx | 68c | 1,115$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 1,088$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.51 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Team Lynx | 54c | 1,088$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx | 36c | 989.45$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.18 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca2…3ff2backed PuckChamp | 59c | 961$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 954.04$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.39 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 905.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…0779backed Team Lynx | 63c | 899.99$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 889.43$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.56 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Lynx | 36c | 874.44$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 870.43$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.71 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed PuckChamp | 43c | 869.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 730.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 715.5$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx | 4c | 712.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed PuckChamp | 29c | 688.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 665.15$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 657.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed PuckChamp | 63c | 570$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked PuckChamp | 76c | 546.92$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Lynx | 56c | 501.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.54 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked PuckChamp | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed PuckChamp | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed PuckChamp | 59c | 493.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PuckChamp | 69c | 474.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Team Lynx | 64c | 465.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Lynx | 24c | 440$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Lynx | 37c | 430$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Team Lynx | 73c | 414.65$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Team Lynx | 74c | 410.85$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PuckChamp | 74c | 408.61$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 404.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked PuckChamp | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Team Lynx | 54c | 383.26$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 59c | 379$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed PuckChamp | 62c | 357.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…6ee7backed PuckChamp | 28c | 338.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 332.71$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 332.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed PuckChamp | 77c | 325.67$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 323$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp | 49c | 322.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 318.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed PuckChamp | 30c | 314.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked PuckChamp | 80c | 309$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 308.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 306.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Lynx | 55c | 306$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Lynx | 73c | 300$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…c725backed Team Lynx | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 284$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 281.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Team Lynx | 40c | 278.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Team Lynx | 33c | 274.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Lynx | 44c | 266.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Team Lynx | 25c | 249.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx | 25c | 241.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 235.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 232$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Team Lynx | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…8c24backed PuckChamp | 44c | 226.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Lynx | 46c | 209.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Lynx | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Lynx | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PuckChamp | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked PuckChamp | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…f780backed PuckChamp | 50c | 198.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx | 33c | 196.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 196.52$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Team Lynx | 74c | 195.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 51c | 194.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 189.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Lynx | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Lynx | 48c | 183.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…404cbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Team Lynx | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…5d04backed PuckChamp | 53c | 165.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Team Lynx | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Team Lynx | 65c | 151.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Team Lynx | 47c | 149.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.