Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf78d77be86dadaeff397e22b626a3eae1eeed74cb00baf0aa1b8ffe6a55db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof Team Lynx, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 6,080$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.3 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 3,009$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PuckChamp | 70c | 2,646$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 71c | 2,369$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.56 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp | 60c | 2,217$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.89 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Lynx | 1c | 2,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 2,104$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Lynx | 40c | 1,885$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.9 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed PuckChamp | 60c | 1,687$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.7 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 1,425$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Lynx | 32c | 1,318$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.96 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 1,206$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 61c | 1,045$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Team Lynx | 40c | 999.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PuckChamp | 62c | 985.07$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.53 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 956.24$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 48c | 942.48$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx | 14c | 818.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed PuckChamp | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Lynx | 4c | 733.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx | 9c | 694.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Team Lynx | 40c | 667.53$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.01 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Team Lynx | 37c | 652.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 11c | 638.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 637.61$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 25c | 596.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed PuckChamp | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 460.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Lynx | 19c | 447.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Lynx | 11c | 410.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PuckChamp | 75c | 405.28$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Lynx | 41c | 329$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…f4b4backed Team Lynx | 29c | 323.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed PuckChamp | 64c | 313$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Lynx | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PuckChamp | 71c | 299.46$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed PuckChamp | 68c | 293.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 284.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked PuckChamp | 55c | 279.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…e1e1backed Team Lynx | 38c | 259.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b2…93ccbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 250.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Team Lynx | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 248$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 245.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed PuckChamp | 65c | 239.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Lynx | 41c | 234$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Lynx | 12c | 225$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Team Lynx | 41c | 214.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed PuckChamp | 68c | 194.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx | 19c | 190.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Lynx | 12c | 176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PuckChamp | 51c | 166.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…2670backed Team Lynx | 15c | 161.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx | 42c | 160.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Lynx | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked PuckChamp | 72c | 139.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PuckChamp | 76c | 129.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…7563backed PuckChamp | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx | 11c | 124.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 39c | 113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Team Lynx | 38c | 112.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…77f1backed Team Lynx | 14c | 110.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked PuckChamp | 66c | 110.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 105.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed PuckChamp | 67c | 100.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked PuckChamp | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 97.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx | 40c | 95.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 92.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx | 35c | 89.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 87.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed PuckChamp | 63c | 87.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 84.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked PuckChamp | 66c | 83.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Lynx | 15c | 82.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed PuckChamp | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked Team Lynx | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…50c1backed PuckChamp | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Lynx | 40c | 67.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PuckChamp | 78c | 63.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 62.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed PuckChamp | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 52.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 51.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed PuckChamp | 67c | 51.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed Team Lynx | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked PuckChamp | 80c | 46.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Team Lynx | 54c | 44.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…c347backed Team Lynx | 44c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed PuckChamp | 76c | 43.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed PuckChamp | 65c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.