Tennis · resolved market
Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87f190f62055a58d6c5b7a9f9ed6c08f6c54a25029b62377ea45aa12709d5f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 9,652$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.48 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 54c | 1,307$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.96 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 54c | 1,241$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 54c | 1,144$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.24 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 58c | 489.36$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.3 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under | 54c | 185.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 140.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 54c | 125.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Under | 54c | 92.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 54c | 91.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…e9bebacked Under | 54c | 91.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5c85backed Under | 54c | 85.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Under | 54c | 85.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Under | 54c | 85.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 42c | 82.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 45c | 63.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Under | 54c | 47.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 52c | 43.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 54c | 34.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 54c | 31.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…7d30backed Under | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…0df2backed Under | 54c | 18.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan QuinnEthan Quinn won
- Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Quinn: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs QuinnKhachanov won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)Quinn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.