TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4ab…7d30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7544%33 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+731.5%+$135.43
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.43
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$13.97
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$11.53
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28.97
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$18.47
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+238.2%+$35.24
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$5.09
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.01
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.16
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.32
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$9.68
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$8.27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$13.03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$12.77
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$5.65
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$8.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$24.82
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+199.9%+$33.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$13.1
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$15.45
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lin Zhu vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggermanbacked Paul/Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Västerås (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked Västerås · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+288%+$40.47
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$12.77
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+162.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+210.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+210.4%+$21.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.