Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d6e48a598b20afb236c6071ba77a3a833d44a1e956447686a2ea6812eb2b526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof REKONIX, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 58c | 47,115$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,615.11 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 55c | 16,559$9,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked REKONIX | 37c | 11,646$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.65 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 38c | 11,266$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed REKONIX | 44c | 10,229$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.76 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 37c | 7,751$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.68 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 7,500$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX | 44c | 6,778$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed REKONIX | 42c | 6,403$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.21 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked REKONIX | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed REKONIX | 45c | 4,091$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.95 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed REKONIX | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed REKONIX | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 61c | 3,994$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.63 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 33c | 3,679$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 34c | 3,108$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.59 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed REKONIX | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed REKONIX | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 40c | 2,311$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.65 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 34c | 2,300$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,276$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.11 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked REKONIX | 41c | 2,197$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.77 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked REKONIX | 45c | 2,189$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,138$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.19 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked REKONIX | 44c | 2,100$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 33c | 2,084$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.28 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed REKONIX | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 30c | 1,861$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.41 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,844$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.48 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,800$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.93 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,792$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,741$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.92 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed REKONIX | 34c | 1,656$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.74 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed REKONIX | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,506$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.26 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed REKONIX | 21c | 1,455$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,452$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,389$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.26 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 30c | 1,342$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.09 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,221$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.77 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,200$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,101$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed REKONIX | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,027$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.33 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,014$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed REKONIX | 30c | 958.44$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed REKONIX | 43c | 930.11$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.6 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 60c | 928.7$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.06 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed MOUZ | 59c | 902.5$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.18 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 899.99$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked REKONIX | 28c | 761.36$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed MOUZ | 69c | 724.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed REKONIX | 41c | 696$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed REKONIX | 37c | 690.28$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked REKONIX | 42c | 651.28$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.51 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked MOUZ | 68c | 647.68$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked REKONIX | 45c | 637.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed REKONIX | 34c | 617.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed MOUZ | 80c | 599.15$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 34c | 590.45$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked REKONIX | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked REKONIX | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 17c | 536.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked REKONIX | 37c | 509.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked REKONIX | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed REKONIX | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed REKONIX | 45c | 498$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed MOUZ | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 46c | 444.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed MOUZ | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked REKONIX | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked MOUZ | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed REKONIX | 35c | 388$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 387.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 73c | 355.24$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…042dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…7967backed REKONIX | 41c | 328$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed REKONIX | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked MOUZ | 68c | 294.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked REKONIX | 47c | 272.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed REKONIX | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 39c | 252.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed REKONIX | 4c | 250.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked REKONIX | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed REKONIX | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed REKONIX | 45c | 249.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed REKONIX | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 63c | 229$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked REKONIX | 45c | 217.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CMOUZ won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.