Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8267d30fbc102401bbf167b56df046400075eec01bf85b97ddf9a5265b7fa53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof REKONIX, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed REKONIX | 41c | 37,023$15,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,224.64 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 68c | 29,507$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,507.19 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked MOUZ | 63c | 20,401$12,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.03 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 68c | 20,000$13,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.66 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed REKONIX | 33c | 16,437$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.68 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked REKONIX | 42c | 15,500$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 12,000$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.21 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed REKONIX | 42c | 11,656$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.97 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed REKONIX | 18c | 11,210$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.06 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed REKONIX | 31c | 11,111$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.41 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed REKONIX | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.83 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 41c | 10,932$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 33c | 8,700$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.51 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 77c | 7,912$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.75 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked REKONIX | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed REKONIX | 39c | 7,457$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed REKONIX | 42c | 7,250$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.49 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MOUZ | 78c | 6,638$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.6 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 62c | 6,274$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.76 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 58c | 6,000$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 59c | 5,400$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked REKONIX | 31c | 4,833$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.75 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 62c | 4,608$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.6 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed MOUZ | 61c | 4,375$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 62c | 4,124$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.55 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 60c | 4,063$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 71c | 4,004$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.24 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked REKONIX | 35c | 3,950$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed REKONIX | 31c | 3,885$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.79 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,850$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.88 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 3,370$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.54 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked REKONIX | 42c | 3,303$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.13 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,187$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.48 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed REKONIX | 41c | 3,135$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.33 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed REKONIX | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked MOUZ | 72c | 2,908$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.97 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed MOUZ | 57c | 2,870$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.02 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 2,792$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.2 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed REKONIX | 41c | 2,765$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.39 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,656$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.97 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed REKONIX | 33c | 2,596$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.75 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 15c | 2,557$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,500$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked REKONIX | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked REKONIX | 24c | 2,330$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 74c | 2,304$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.5 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 34c | 2,250$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked MOUZ | 76c | 2,215$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.58 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,166$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed REKONIX | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed REKONIX | 17c | 1,992$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.32 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 71c | 1,990$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.07 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,931$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.47 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked REKONIX | 31c | 1,833$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.34 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 73c | 1,771$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.59 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,767$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.45 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 33c | 1,750$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,711$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.55 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,710$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.71 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,600$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked MOUZ | 71c | 1,579$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.52 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 71c | 1,516$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.8 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,507$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.94 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…9362backed REKONIX | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…b615backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,412$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.98 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,329$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,212$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.35 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked REKONIX | 20c | 1,208$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.66 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,151$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 31c | 1,150$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,150$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed REKONIX | 19c | 1,145$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,145$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed REKONIX | 37c | 1,128$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed REKONIX | 12c | 1,124$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,060$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.59 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,032$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.19 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,022$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,010$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed REKONIX | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked REKONIX | 24c | 1,000$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed REKONIX | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed REKONIX | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked MOUZ | 57c | 994.22$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.22 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked MOUZ | 62c | 984.38$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked REKONIX | 2c | 954.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 900$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 65c | 887.2$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.89 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed MOUZ | 60c | 878.16$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.39 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed MOUZ | 69c | 874.99$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.49 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed REKONIX | 40c | 870.33$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.05 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed MOUZ | 57c | 866.02$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.39 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ | 66c | 860.48$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.62 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed MOUZ | 61c | 820.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CMOUZ won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.