MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb29009dff803b3bb2416cf77d3833730e35c6f99cf580c03499250487dbb16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,073,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,145,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets | 58c | 202,379$117,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,379.58 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 10c | 114,296$11,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,668.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 71,915$44,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,589.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 59,920$27,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,064.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 56,220$23,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,607.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 44c | 45,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,700 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 32,289$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,289.32 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 50c | 27,798$14,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,024.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 26,469$11,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,352.26 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 21,153$14,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,687.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 21,107$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,242.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 59c | 13,233$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed New York Mets | 55c | 12,553$6,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 12,497$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 12,345$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.1 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 10,714$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.28 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 9,768$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.92 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 9,576$7,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…8a75backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 9,450$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed New York Mets | 60c | 9,175$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 7,838$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.11 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 7,803$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.87 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 7,549$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 6,667$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.67 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 6,517$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 6,255$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.35 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,580$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 56c | 4,574$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.78 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 4,430$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,396$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 1c | 4,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 3,505$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.79 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed New York Mets | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 51c | 3,133$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed New York Mets | 3c | 2,840$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed New York Mets | 4c | 2,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked New York Mets | 72c | 2,676$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.01 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,525$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.56 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,438$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,258$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 2,255$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.95 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 64c | 2,194$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.26 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,089$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.19 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,048$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,035$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.37 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,900$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.92 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,718$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.65 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,707$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 1,566$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.63 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,558$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.04 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,384$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,346$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.49 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 1,346$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked New York Mets | 56c | 1,269$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.5 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,249$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.59 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,224$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.53 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked New York Mets | 72c | 1,183$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.22 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,109$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.22 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Mets | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 57c | 998.26$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.13 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 944.66$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 930.28$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed New York Mets | 56c | 914$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.84 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 889.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed New York Mets | 57c | 884.21$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 73c | 863.83$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.84 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed New York Mets | 56c | 852.7$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.51 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 833.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.43 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 47c | 815$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 800$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed New York Mets | 51c | 796.23$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 769.01$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.55 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 762.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 701.65$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.46 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked New York Mets | 7c | 684.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 679.47$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed New York Mets | 55c | 669.19$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.07 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 667$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 666.13$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 664.4$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked New York Mets | 12c | 656.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked New York Mets | 12c | 647.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked New York Mets | 66c | 637.26$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 5c | 600.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 562.1$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.02 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 19.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 20.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 21.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 22.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.