TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9ec…710a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT13545.9%62 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+907.9%+$181.58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+235%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.06
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,336.33
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.52
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.73
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$107.65
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.48
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.34
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.66
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$304.78
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.47
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$39.47
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.