MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2489f6ab7d08ee24a1422d65523a6202c08356fd32a10478b07dad468d2de84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Seattle Mariners, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,236,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,346,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,236,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 178,476$82,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,099.12 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 152,636$82,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,212.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 125,228$67,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,604.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 86,245$66,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,070.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 69,697$29,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,548.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 2c | 25,392$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 20,806$12,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,051.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 20,000$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.61 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 18,709$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,606.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 18,480$9,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500.63 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 16,000$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 15,825$8,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437.64 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 15,754$8,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,404.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 14,509$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 13,763$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 13,694$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 11,365$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.52 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 11,108$7,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 9,578$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.92 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 9,138$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.42 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 9,106$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 7,913$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.68 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 7,761$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 6,515$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 6,350$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 6,054$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 5,402$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.82 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 5,145$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 5,078$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…095abacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…84aebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 4,916$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 4,833$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.57 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,703$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.38 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 4,601$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 4,318$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 4,254$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 4,038$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.54 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 3,738$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.48 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 3,647$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.45 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.99 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 3,381$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.48 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 78c | 3,117$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.56 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 3,095$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 3,067$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 3,056$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.56 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.05 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 2,883$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.57 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,799$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.7 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 2,722$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 2,538$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Seattle Mariners | 2c | 2,538$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 2,538$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 2,522$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.43 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,425$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.98 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,314$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.44 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 2,305$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 2,229$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.62 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 2,077$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.76 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,030$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.63 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,000$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 1,869$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.6 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 1,768$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.04 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,762$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.71 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,753$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,686$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.42 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,626$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,578$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 1,573$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.62 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,538$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.68 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,519$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.94 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 1,462$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,422$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.89 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,407$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,382$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,370$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.37 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,329$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.77 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,256$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.76 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…9dddbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,235$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 1,189$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,134$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.85 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 1,133$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,114$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.15 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,084$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.55 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,014$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.57 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 999.79$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.