TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,608,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,475,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,608,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,863 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked Yes30c2,150,420$645,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645,125.872846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No70c851,399$595,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,433.5733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No70c350,000$246,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,600.0410740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c322,973$225,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,993.3474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c220,585$155,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,069.262,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No70c188,351$132,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,317.1142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c120,831$34,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,332.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No74c117,410$87,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,048.938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes19c101,345$19,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,030.955930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No70c100,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c96,422$70,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,878.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No66c86,249$56,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,569.761,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No71c82,481$58,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,919.499345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No72c72,799$52,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,422.1124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked No70c70,474$49,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,191.428856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes26c70,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.9842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed No72c68,768$49,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,255.132755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes30c66,667$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No70c63,653$44,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,898.1129952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No63c57,314$35,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,394.841,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No70c50,850$35,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2559247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes12c50,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.999747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Yes7c45,783$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.5514240.8%58 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes30c44,726$13,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,550.9264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes27c43,351$11,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,68210057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes37c40,103$14,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,68018047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes27c36,097$9,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,688.8932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes26c35,680$9,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,198.8612536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No71c35,361$25,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,254.568952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No68c28,999$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.798063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No60c27,128$16,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,741.0715746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No68c25,283$17,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,179.137269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes9c22,216$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.4425753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes28c22,000$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,06024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No70c21,223$14,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,330.565942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c19,349$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.0979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No76c18,834$14,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,570.8321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Yes55c18,200$10,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,01014045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f3…2e03backed Yes25c17,706$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.387711.7%9 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c17,665$12,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.4131945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Yes57c17,358$9,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,968.581752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No74c16,767$12,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.8514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes18c15,368$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.6966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No71c15,000$10,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,42540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c14,151$4,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.687642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No71c14,005$9,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed No71c14,000$9,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1307353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c13,808$9,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes12c13,713$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60015040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes32c12,859$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.6298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c12,759$8,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.41,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e0…b8f6backed No72c12,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No78c11,827$9,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.3331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c10,789$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.661,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes24c10,741$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No70c10,684$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.0570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c10,393$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes62c9,718$6,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,024.94030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes35c9,286$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2503243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed Yes14c9,027$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.1913037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes29c9,000$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6307153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes30c8,599$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.726749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3f…1136backed Yes58c8,557$4,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,963728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes27c8,142$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.237751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c7,500$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes19c7,183$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.5445528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes30c7,150$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.0519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…4a14backed No71c7,080$5,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.22373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c7,039$5,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.243,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked No70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked No70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No71c6,752$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.7233549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Yes41c6,257$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.936627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes23c6,100$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.222,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes28c6,047$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c5,600$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes29c5,555$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.6692732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes26c5,549$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.631,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c5,478$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.491,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No71c5,412$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.5124950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce6…8fafbacked Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Yes54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No71c5,000$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.6511552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No72c4,988$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.7884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1613…7b03backed No72c4,953$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.71973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes20c4,923$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3913623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf03…1bedbacked No72c4,802$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.45887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No72c4,692$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.94060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes25c4,400$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No71c4,400$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.9744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes29c4,133$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.0526534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b54…84acbacked Yes24c4,064$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.