Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x173be8afaedec7e17be529389b825fa2171aa7e6dff36fc5ad26698195dd2227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,247,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,048,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,247,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7225…659abacked No | 54c | 4,819,477$2,617,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617,128.39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 48c | 1,810,004$865,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944,882.44 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…df43backed No | 55c | 830,104$452,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452,779.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 45c | 683,261$307,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375,793.54 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 639,755$298,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341,018.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 44c | 570,995$251,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319,757.37 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Yes | 45c | 500,000$225,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 47c | 405,581$192,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,520.91 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 401,412$184,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,485.91 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed Yes | 45c | 398,838$179,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,361.06 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked No | 53c | 373,709$198,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,065.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 342,391$184,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,538.61 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 54c | 338,110$182,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,579.27 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 45c | 304,000$136,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 45c | 300,000$135,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 46c | 217,391$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,391.3 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 47c | 214,550$101,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,357.14 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 211,898$102,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,283.49 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed No | 56c | 196,429$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 169,010$77,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,261.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 158,500$72,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,589.81 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 46c | 157,777$72,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,177.35 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 54c | 150,466$81,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,274.42 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 37c | 135,135$49,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,837.81 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 74c | 120,760$88,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,819.64 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed No | 62c | 110,000$68,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,399.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…21a0backed Yes | 46c | 105,000$48,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,700 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Yes | 23c | 99,950$23,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,479.12 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 92,784$49,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,406.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 55c | 90,000$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,500 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 89,999$42,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,899.36 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 46c | 89,107$40,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,382.43 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 87,714$47,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,183.46 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked No | 54c | 86,791$47,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,167.16 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 55c | 85,920$47,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,255.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 83,314$50,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,627.48 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 81,210$20,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,251.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 54c | 79,999$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,199.71 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 45c | 73,818$33,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,599.9 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 54c | 71,827$38,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,508.39 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 54c | 65,700$35,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,477.86 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 54c | 63,623$34,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,356.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…3146backed Yes | 45c | 63,000$28,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,390 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 66c | 59,644$39,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,343.37 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…4a31backed Yes | 65c | 59,069$38,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,674 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ca76backed Yes | 46c | 54,348$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,347.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 54c | 52,748$28,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,484.08 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 42c | 48,260$20,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,166.75 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 51c | 47,351$24,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,101.37 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 39c | 46,013$17,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,968.5 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,299.97 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…2121backed No | 54c | 44,399$23,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,975.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…f2d9backed Yes | 45c | 43,513$19,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,932.14 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…c168backed Yes | 47c | 42,554$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,553.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Yes | 65c | 42,448$27,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,881.44 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 45c | 40,315$18,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,172.26 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 54c | 39,999$21,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed No | 54c | 39,052$21,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,088.15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed Yes | 46c | 35,826$16,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,324.3 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 35,166$20,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,336.47 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed No | 54c | 35,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 54c | 34,768$18,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,915.62 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 55c | 33,815$18,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,598.15 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 54c | 33,759$18,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,230.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 54c | 33,749$18,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,224.42 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Yes | 45c | 32,889$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,088.69 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…2b59backed Yes | 47c | 31,915$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,914.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 54c | 31,763$17,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,152.27 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 32c | 31,253$10,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,014.2 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8ecabacked No | 55c | 31,215$17,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,168.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 54c | 31,048$16,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,685.59 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 78c | 30,541$23,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,770.92 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 53c | 30,400$16,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,247.78 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed No | 56c | 30,357$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed No | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.81 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 56c | 28,571$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 54c | 27,950$15,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,092.76 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…04a9backed No | 51c | 27,515$14,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,051.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Yes | 46c | 26,889$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,488.94 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…d3eebacked No | 54c | 26,374$14,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,241.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 25,712$11,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.34 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 46c | 25,527$11,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,784.63 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 50c | 25,050$12,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,598.55 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 46c | 25,020$11,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,510.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed No | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000.14 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 58c | 23,274$13,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,798.59 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 65c | 22,940$14,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,029 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Yes | 46c | 22,937$10,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,385.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.22 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 50c | 21,827$10,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,885.67 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Yes | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,739.13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 46c | 21,413$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,563.04 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…7028backed Yes | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 45c | 20,805$9,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,442.64 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…2fa7backed Yes | 45c | 20,444$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,244.44 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 69c | 20,348$14,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.27 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 20,017$10,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,624.12 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?No won
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.