TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,579,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,097,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,579,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,018 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c678,100$372,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,955.081,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Under55c393,375$216,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,356.012040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over45c361,332$162,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,872.7242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over45c277,777$125,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,777.358246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Over45c276,643$124,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,153.892222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Over44c264,007$116,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,843.775451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c250,494$119,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,944.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489c…376bbacked Under56c168,006$94,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,083.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under56c100,000$56,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,999.9617949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over44c96,315$42,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,084.972,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb06…d915backed Over45c86,507$38,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,578.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over44c75,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,999.7933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over44c50,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,0007448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over44c40,000$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,40013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Over44c39,350$17,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,035.92157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Under57c39,228$22,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,170.9424344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Over44c38,141$16,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,358.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under55c35,000$19,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,35027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over46c32,900$15,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,76613725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c30,969$13,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,380.942,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Under55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.888135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over59c28,352$16,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,504.3365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under56c24,055$13,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,470.7351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over47c23,196$10,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,409.4675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed Over45c22,979$10,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,638.47922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Under56c22,672$12,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,696.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over45c22,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,10027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over46c21,700$9,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,71814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under55c19,273$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6006930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Over45c18,499$8,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,174.515456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over45c17,152$7,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,433.61,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under10c16,149$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.4130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x658a…0d31backed Under56c15,848$8,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,874.78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4007757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under38c14,621$5,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,498.11850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under7c14,286$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c14,264$6,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,818.052,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over44c14,000$6,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,788.4447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under31c13,312$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.4437223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under56c13,057$7,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,312.0670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under42c11,932$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.552,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under57c11,510$6,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,616.7542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a9…e390backed Under56c10,695$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Under56c10,488$5,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,873.483571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b51…ad13backed Under56c10,268$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7501560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Under39c10,256$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over71c10,009$7,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.8539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under56c10,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef4…71e0backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Over61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9008063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Under36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.992846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.949839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over44c9,322$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.0450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over44c9,253$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,147.8544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under55c9,128$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.531,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under41c9,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.9915149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under56c8,168$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.23850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over43c8,091$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.8618633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4008041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c7,897$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c7,747$5,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed Under56c7,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c6,930$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747a…766dbacked Under37c6,670$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Over45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.677729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Over77c6,500$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4952860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3d…3735backed Over45c6,449$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+270.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c6,255$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Under56c6,150$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4447972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under55c6,120$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3664252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e20…39dabacked Under56c5,972$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.382035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26c5…6416backed Under35c5,652$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under10c5,453$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.1233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over75c5,165$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.4275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Under39c5,156$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under32c5,069$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.4966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd49a…6f4cbacked Over43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under54c4,950$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.0429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over44c4,800$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under20c4,579$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under25c4,558$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.4317636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x853c…d32cbacked Under32c4,500$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44014737.4%55 W · 92 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under56c4,446$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.014665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Over45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.444652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.445644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under56c4,400$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46411642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under55c4,400$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.039150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over62c4,207$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.811,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Over63c4,127$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.984148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under54c4,050$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9835719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9529250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over44c3,841$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.8747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c3,750$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.851,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under56c3,611$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.1688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7826…9d51backed Under56c3,576$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.421631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over45c3,556$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.5626644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.