TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf713…a97bbacked Over12c3,475$417 inLost-$417.016331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over25c1,232$304 inLost-$304.342828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over22c1,000$220 inLost-$22022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41de…3930backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under75c872.82$659 inWon+$214.041,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c543.85$408 inWon+$135.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Over25c500$125 inLost-$1254634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under76c499.96$380 inWon+$119.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over19c449.03$85 inLost-$85.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under75c423.5$317 inWon+$106.53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over25c380$95 inLost-$955930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over13c338.46$44 inLost-$4413736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc404…bb69backed Over25c201.25$50 inLost-$502222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over25c200$50 inLost-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over24c200$48 inLost-$4812829.7%38 W · 90 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…50a1backed Over25c190.44$48 inLost-$47.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d8…3ce3backed Under78c155$121 inWon+$34.12755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over24c145.83$35 inLost-$351,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over24c129.98$31 inLost-$31.475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under75c129.69$97 inWon+$32.422,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over24c125$30 inLost-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under76c121.6$92 inWon+$29.643,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c120.11$14 inLost-$13.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b3…5e70backed Over25c100$25 inLost-$251030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under75c97$73 inWon+$24.252,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ef…777bbacked Over28c68.46$19 inLost-$19.171118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over25c64.35$16 inLost-$16.424935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over23c49.99$11 inLost-$11.533847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over25c40$10 inLost-$101,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…8274backed Over25c40$10 inLost-$104158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3200…5cf6backed Over25c40$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under74c31.24$23 inWon+$8.121,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c76…6e88backed Under77c15.58$12 inWon+$3.595100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed Under75c14.4$11 inWon+$3.67067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under77c13.78$11 inWon+$3.173655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.