TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,858,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,996,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,858,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 780 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c237,217$64,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,041.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under34c143,639$48,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,609.178932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over66c131,254$86,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,444.0374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over67c121,056$80,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,441.852,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over68c118,166$80,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,813.121,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under32c99,999$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,999.8217949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c96,667$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.6715929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under31c73,893$23,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,115.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c48,168$32,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,413.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under32c32,840$10,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,508.697642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Under32c30,999$9,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,919.88135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over67c30,000$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,90013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Over68c30,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6002860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under34c23,600$8,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0241850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under12c23,375$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.7130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under16c22,300$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Under33c21,605$7,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,129.564057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under33c18,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under33c17,000$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,559.9547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under33c16,241$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,317.0348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under32c16,205$5,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,184.112050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Under34c16,174$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,462.723023.3%7 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed Under33c15,173$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0072356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under5c14,211$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.324,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed Under33c14,177$4,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,621.881681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c13,179$9,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under0c12,845$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over68c12,202$8,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.628858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under33c10,400$3,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1681…b1c7backed Over66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.997740.3%31 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.9821140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under33c10,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.9824144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb82…f6babacked Under32c9,765$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over68c9,471$6,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.7575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Under32c9,400$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0084148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Over67c9,090$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.99341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under33c9,000$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.9747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under33c8,850$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.5420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under8c8,144$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.6814325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Under33c8,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…e49ebacked Over68c7,850$5,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.114339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf2…6209backed Under33c7,550$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under1c7,314$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1445145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under33c7,200$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under34c6,933$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.3551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under33c6,900$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27711445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over67c6,716$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.281,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c6,498$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.521,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under32c5,953$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.8510056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under7c5,642$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over68c5,500$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5c…c09ebacked Over68c5,473$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c5,181$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.961,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9815149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under11c4,865$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under33c4,700$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.769349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under9c4,124$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over67c3,731$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.349846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over67c3,426$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1402,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under32c3,333$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5419037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under3c3,086$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.591,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ee…64b4backed Over67c3,007$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.684967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Under33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9904311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.999150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1837955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b7…dfc2backed Over68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.18666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Under20c2,925$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.088041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over68c2,851$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.322962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a43…fb9bbacked Under34c2,821$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.11425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under11c2,757$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.631,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d6…89d4backed Over68c2,746$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.613435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under6c2,641$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under17c2,571$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Over67c2,565$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.4710045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under9c2,383$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under33c2,362$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c2,343$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.513,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.812524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8810059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…1ef5backed Under34c2,081$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Over68c2,059$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8211747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under5c2,043$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…097ebacked Over68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6404858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over67c1,999$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.721450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under27c1,986$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under33c1,947$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.572,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under33c1,913$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.2558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over68c1,894$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.934341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over69c1,828$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Under33c1,818$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under33c1,756$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.523,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under16c1,689$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26611934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over68c1,668$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.758951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Under33c1,640$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.195211.5%6 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.