TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof England, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,372,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,464,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9854…6bf2backed France10c100,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9917840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed France69c88,428$60,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,656.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked France10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked England16c30,191$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,277.7164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed England9c27,484$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,973.151,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked England63c26,140$16,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,706.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed France10c23,600$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3603857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England39c18,745$7,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,378.072,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked France50c17,638$8,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,900.9137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed France57c17,632$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed England23c13,289$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,290.9175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed England10c10,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0002931%9 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England18c9,577$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,844.878710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England73c9,345$6,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.322,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France28c9,234$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.3953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England44c8,908$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England11c8,236$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,329.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England49c7,185$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.981,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France45c6,947$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked England63c6,702$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.9775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England52c6,582$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed England41c6,542$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.7710251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked England9c6,533$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,945.331711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed England72c6,525$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.0421946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed England42c6,264$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.067237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed France31c5,798$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.7810234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed France31c5,646$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.7810224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England63c5,183$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.572,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed France58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed France10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed France28c4,817$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3666240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed England20c4,444$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.28321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France56c4,345$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.491,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed France59c4,182$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.9626841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England11c4,150$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France62c4,089$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.7466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed England15c4,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.996737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England43c3,710$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked England78c3,691$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.951,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…6209backed England42c3,590$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x872b…4a83backed France29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed France61c3,311$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.62524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked England66c3,138$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.9983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed France63c3,049$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.937755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed England58c3,045$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.8927034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed England10c3,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed France27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked England8c2,975$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.971226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked England18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.784544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed France62c2,573$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.1916150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed England12c2,547$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.789633.3%32 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed France58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed England9c2,500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2757834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed France19c2,420$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9417659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England9c2,381$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.9272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England31c2,373$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked France26c2,291$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.4569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed England8c2,251$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.5571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed England9c2,222$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.223751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed England70c2,137$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.768731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked England43c2,100$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.7751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked England25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50015763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed France60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9923427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed France68c1,935$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.4285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France65c1,917$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.3920646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked France57c1,897$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed England75c1,684$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.2537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97be…c5e8backed France29c1,650$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.621020%2 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed England41c1,649$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.2777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed France76c1,600$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.9816056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x702b…afd4backed France58c1,561$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked England26c1,538$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.2198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed England73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4052,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed France59c1,491$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.037959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked England61c1,486$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.648871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked England35c1,435$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.931232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked England14c1,429$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.575839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed France71c1,419$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed England9c1,389$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.892560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed England70c1,340$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40215654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked France42c1,334$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9123554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed England5c1,256$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.253545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked England13c1,239$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.0213623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed France72c1,200$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.5721046.2%97 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked England49c1,190$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.1917845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0472…c3bfbacked France59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009446.8%44 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked England27c1,125$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.3816131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed France28c1,112$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.238043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed France48c1,105$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8728042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x407e…2dd8backed France25c1,100$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed France15c1,076$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0427543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed France77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7701275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed England10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked France28c1,000$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.54427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked England10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked France27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed England10c999.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9926940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked England15c996.67$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.1754917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed France28c987.21$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.425630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed England14c958$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.8816336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.