Spread: England (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e4ea766b8c981d82118718bb289a69818bc35bb7fb75506fe507f32613dd3cc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Franceof England, France
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,101,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,130,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,343 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed England	74c	96,813$71,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,626.72	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked France	26c	76,879$19,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,890.55	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France	65c	39,920$25,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,123.4	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked England	2c	36,776$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.38	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England	7c	28,713$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England	28c	21,236$5,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,844.79	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed France	26c	20,000$5,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,780	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked England	3c	19,920$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.39	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked England	18c	16,562$2,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,935.87	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed England	3c	16,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+319.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	62c	15,411$9,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,610.94	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed England	44c	15,297$6,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,732.28	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed England	3c	14,285$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.98	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked England	3c	13,392$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.73	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England	3c	13,347$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.74	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England	15c	12,470$1,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.25	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked France	26c	11,540$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,540.38	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	+8.5wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed England	7c	10,488$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England	16c	8,158$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.15	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England	5c	7,505$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.8	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	10c	7,443$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.75	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked England	2c	7,062$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.43	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed England	3c	7,029$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.09	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked England	75c	6,579$4,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,936.59	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England	12c	5,739$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.31	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England	3c	5,252$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.06	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed France	26c	5,083$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,776.54	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc59…b6c3backed France	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed France	26c	5,000$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,709.99	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed England	31c	4,429$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.27	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed France	58c	4,186$2,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.89	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb032…6977backed France	26c	3,566$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,641.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.74per pick	26cpaid	+285.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed France	77c	3,514$2,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.66	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed France	58c	3,442$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.2	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed England	3c	3,182$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1b…6cc0backed England	73c	3,012$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200c…a466backed England	3c	2,937$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.11	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+287.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80be…7ee7backed England	5c	2,772$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.19	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed England	3c	2,759$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.83	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed England	4c	2,637$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.61	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	16cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed England	43c	2,600$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.8	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France	43c	2,383$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.64	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed England	74c	2,177$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610.99	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed England	2c	2,153$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked France	28c	2,021$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460.87	239	44.8%107 W · 132 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed France	56c	2,001$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.28	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed France	26c	2,000$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,478	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked England	19c	1,917$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.21	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked France	71c	1,899$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.3	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked France	27c	1,885$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.27	215	22.8%49 W · 166 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed France	57c	1,700$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.6	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed England	6c	1,601$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.94	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked England	3c	1,500$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.4	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked France	27c	1,485$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.26	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed England	6c	1,448$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked France	56c	1,393$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.77	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed France	26c	1,374$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.92	185	44.9%83 W · 102 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed England	5c	1,362$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.57	78	5.1%4 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England	7c	1,352$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.22	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked England	74c	1,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked England	3c	1,329$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.36	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed England	2c	1,261$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed France	37c	1,219$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.15	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed France	27c	1,200$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.6	190	62.6%119 W · 71 L	+13.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed England	3c	1,191$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.95	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a7…34ebbacked England	18c	1,157$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.92	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed England	3c	1,023$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed France	30c	1,013$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.84	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked England	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked England	70c	999.99$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed France	28c	999.54$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.67	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed France	57c	978.09$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.4	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked France	75c	953.95$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.9	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked France	53c	932.86$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.13	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed England	17c	905.29$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed France	54c	881.5$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.5	128	53.9%69 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked France	57c	874.13$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.13	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	36cpaid	+73%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France	79c	779.95$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.3	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked France	26c	775.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.19	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed France	26c	774.51$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.47	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked France	25c	769.53$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.8	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5130…5a76backed France	26c	749$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.79	113	37.2%42 W · 71 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked England	16c	734.19$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb43e…ef83backed France	30c	709.72$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.39	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e4…b586backed France	26c	707.94$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.58	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked England	19c	675.92$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.72	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0984…5933backed England	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked England	4c	647$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed England	5c	600$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	33	3%1 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed France	26c	600$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444	164	28.7%47 W · 117 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked England	3c	599.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked England	17c	583.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	31.7%51 W · 110 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed France	65c	580.13$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.96	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked England	74c	566.05$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.01	93	72%67 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked England	3c	552.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed England	3c	542.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed France	57c	521.22$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.22	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc4…7ffbbacked France	26c	520$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.84	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a32…0c5fbacked England	74c	517.58$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.49	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	60cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed England	3c	511.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-2.5)this page
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 5.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 8.5Over won
France vs. England: Team to WinEngland won
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)England won
Spread: England (-3.5)France won
Spread: England (-4.5)France won
Spread: England (-5.5)France won
Spread: France (-1.5)England won
Spread: France (-2.5)England won
Spread: France (-3.5)England won
Spread: France (-4.5)England won
Spread: France (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event