TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$875,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$988,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $875,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa3d1…de26backed Under0c164,486$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.496460.9%39 W · 25 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c40,994$24,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,989.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over20c35,172$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,171.997416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Under64c32,794$20,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,857.447238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over61c31,055$18,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,258.5714248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under15c24,564$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.441838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over56c22,543$12,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.7524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under32c20,068$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,369.8241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c19,474$8,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,746.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over71c16,572$11,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.6830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under51c14,464$7,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,411.3744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under22c12,812$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.8936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c12,798$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3625125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under11c10,997$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.0315929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over50c10,004$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.7416947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c8,844$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c8,273$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.451375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under51c8,137$4,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,152.3751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c7,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under7c6,440$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.614944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under74c6,353$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,688.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under2c6,200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118498.2%4 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over46c6,134$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.1225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over49c5,788$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.115366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under7c5,533$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under37c5,315$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.1575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c5,261$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.652,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over19c5,177$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,193.1919037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under44c5,135$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2505955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed Under54c4,921$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over57c4,565$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.717747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under3c4,333$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c3,675$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.472,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under4c3,293$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6621722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over49c3,234$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.1421641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under37c3,227$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.892147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under9c3,216$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2796728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over53c3,212$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c3,033$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over19c2,930$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.323,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Over19c2,445$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.242450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd6…9efebacked Under12c2,177$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.181323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under45c2,161$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.2937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under2c2,125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c2,094$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.312,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over55c1,959$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.538329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over42c1,882$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.8353629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11dd…f832backed Under16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+247.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c1,838$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under80c1,831$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.531,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over51c1,758$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.326930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under4c1,659$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.147047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over65c1,644$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.95248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Over20c1,549$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.682334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.462927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over62c1,529$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.047560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c1,503$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.6226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over55c1,442$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.7136539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under5c1,440$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under45c1,439$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.983342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under46c1,314$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under48c1,255$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8219649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Under16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+196.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over34c1,166$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.34459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under6c1,147$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under18c1,115$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over43c1,037$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0429639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db7…5e5abacked Over75c1,003$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.682147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under8c1,000$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4127931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-77.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x028a…f485backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over49c980.38$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c974.01$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under42c880.77$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9216755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under8c804.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over54c803.45$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under52c791.79$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4125643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over68c761.06$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Under52c745.76$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.88847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under49c740.03$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over64c734.38$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3819939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over46c701.26$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.683315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddd4…1fabbacked Under4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under80c683.79$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under11c661.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.931,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.