TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Englandof France, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$382,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,324 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed France5c52,510$2,579 inLost-$2,579.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed France1c27,998$220 inLost-$220.324,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France6c11,164$696 inLost-$695.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France3c9,034$287 inLost-$286.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed France5c8,938$473 inLost-$472.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed France5c8,695$400 inLost-$399.9771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France6c7,592$421 inLost-$421.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked France5c3,921$194 inLost-$193.521,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed France5c3,610$176 inLost-$176.160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked France5c2,746$126 inLost-$126.321226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed France1c2,334$26 inLost-$25.6826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked France5c2,329$109 inLost-$108.5770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed France6c1,951$120 inLost-$120.0278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France6c1,768$101 inLost-$100.82,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked France5c1,241$62 inLost-$61.9831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked France6c1,220$70 inLost-$69.5470750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked France5c1,200$60 inLost-$59.585530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed France5c1,052$54 inLost-$54.443,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked France5c808.52$38 inLost-$3822951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked France5c800$38 inLost-$38.417919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed France5c764.02$37 inLost-$36.518051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked France5c717.53$37 inLost-$37.083,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked France6c527.76$31 inLost-$30.614916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed France5c522.14$25 inLost-$25.061,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed France5c500$25 inLost-$251578.9%14 W · 143 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed France6c418.57$25 inLost-$2533221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed France5c340.32$17 inLost-$16.9611928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked France5c293.84$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed France5c269.31$14 inLost-$13.63716.2%6 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked France5c257.9$12 inLost-$12.028957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked France5c253.54$12 inLost-$121,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked France6c250$15 inLost-$14.7517018.8%32 W · 138 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.