Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d5f6054b2e59b336c20c7452f45c04f4770b54a7a54e211e95ed243035d74c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Over | 45c | 69,375$31,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,181.92 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 51,859$28,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,523.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…a5d3backed Under | 55c | 12,685$6,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 55c | 2,507$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.22 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 1,662$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…65f7backed Under | 55c | 1,277$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Under | 54c | 1,041$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.27 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 55c | 940.5$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.27 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 779.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.99 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 55c | 751.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.59 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 663.39$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Under | 58c | 420.64$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 263$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 42c | 258.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Under | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 232.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 46c | 216.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 58c | 210.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Under | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Under | 55c | 82.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 59c | 75.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 61.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 61.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 61.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…5cc5backed Under | 58c | 46.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 55c | 46.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Over | 71c | 30.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…9220backed Over | 75c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 54c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 5.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 7.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 8.5Over won
- France vs. England: Team to WinEngland won
- France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)France won
- Spread: England (-3.5)France won
- Spread: England (-4.5)France won
- Spread: England (-5.5)France won
- Spread: France (-1.5)England won
- Spread: France (-2.5)England won
- Spread: France (-3.5)England won
- Spread: France (-4.5)England won
- Spread: France (-5.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.