TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under52c1,014$528 inLost-$527.525352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under50c794.44$397 inLost-$397.412,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked Over48c642.63$308 inWon+$334.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…e8cbbacked Over31c572.98$179 inWon+$393.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+131.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over47c561.4$263 inWon+$298.2675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under69c373.07$257 inLost-$256.581,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa68e…4b67backed Over47c287.17$135 inWon+$152.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c284.49$133 inWon+$151.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…7e24backed Over48c208.73$100 inWon+$108.73633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under52c189.49$99 inLost-$98.5458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under69c160.27$111 inLost-$110.592,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under66c110.8$73 inLost-$72.862,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon+$43.336738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f4…f9f9backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon+$33.831275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2603…2b6abacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon+$32.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5635…ab8abacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon+$35.562744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf1…f9cfbacked Over48c39.52$19 inWon+$20.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under60c29.13$17 inLost-$17.483,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over64c24.04$15 inWon+$8.583930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed Under69c19.23$13 inLost-$13.271060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.