TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,021 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c6,998$5,291 inLost-$5,291.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd6…9efebacked Under15c2,028$303 inLost-$303.081323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…44bbbacked Under15c1,667$250 inLost-$2501428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over13c999.99$130 inWon+$869.9954917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over17c786.43$133 inWon+$653.475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dab…c5c1backed Over73c685.4$500 inWon+$185.41711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-80.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe481…f280backed Under20c466.7$93 inLost-$93.34650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+185.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over13c439.77$57 inWon+$382.628822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a32…0c5fbacked Under64c438.59$281 inLost-$280.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-57.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over11c419.36$46 inWon+$373.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over11c401.09$45 inWon+$355.9829813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c311.54$195 inLost-$195.294,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under11c249.68$28 inLost-$27.8811114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over10c233$23 inWon+$209.765737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over36c220.7$80 inWon+$141.157755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over10c210$21 inWon+$1893129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…270fbacked Over65c177.18$115 inWon+$62.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under13c142$18 inLost-$17.8145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over11c140$15 inWon+$125.32,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa66…1955backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon+$78.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under39c123.01$48 inLost-$48.361,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under33c92.26$30 inLost-$29.9911329.2%33 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Over36c83.56$30 inWon+$53.5610339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under29c70.42$21 inLost-$20.6982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c70.01$12 inWon+$57.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over36c70$25 inWon+$44.826344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under17c62.46$10 inLost-$10.352,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Under25c56.87$14 inLost-$14128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe9…0ac5backed Over40c50$20 inWon+$306100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+156.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over36c49.26$18 inWon+$31.6119241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under31c49.1$15 inLost-$15.3325328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Under27c46.54$13 inLost-$12.71806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Under27c45.24$12 inLost-$12.36785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3144…9502backed Over36c41.67$15 inWon+$26.672744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under37c39.9$15 inLost-$14.643412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Under33c36$12 inLost-$11.7419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Over80c25$20 inWon+$52454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Under48c24.87$12 inLost-$11.994916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Under46c23.97$11 inLost-$10.975512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.